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St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy — predictions and result

St. Louis City
90-minute result6–2
Los Angeles Galaxy
Regular Season - 28Citypark

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H58%D25%A17%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D30%A20%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H52%D27%A21%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H46%D28%A26%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H48%D27%A25%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H52%D26%A22%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

St. Louis are solid at Citypark, hold a strong head-to-head record against the Galaxy and are fighting to lock up a playoff spot, while LA are a sub-.500 side on the road with a negative goal difference. Both teams are low-scoring and the Galaxy draw often (7 in 20), so a tight home win with real draw equity is the call.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

St. Louis City are in strong form, unbeaten in seven all-time meetings with LA Galaxy (3W 4D) and have home advantage, while the Galaxy are missing Lozano but still carry attacking threat through Reus and Klauss.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

St. Louis City sit comfortably in fifth place with strong home form and an unbeaten historical record against the Galaxy, who have struggled for consistency down in 13th.

Muse Spark 1.2

St. Louis are unbeaten in 15 and undefeated in five all-time meetings with Galaxy (2-1 win in this fixture last year) at CITYPARK, while Galaxy sit 13th in the West with just 22pts from 20 games and a -6 GD.

MiniMax M3

St. Louis City sit 5th in the West on 29 points and enter this match on a 15-game unbeaten league run at Citypark, while LA Galaxy are stranded in 13th on 22 points with a negative goal difference. St. Louis are also historically dominant in this fixture, unbeaten against the Galaxy all-time (0-2-3) including a 2-1 home win in this exact matchup last season, and Hartel provides the attacking edge to exploit a Galaxy side that has conceded 30 goals in 20 games.

Mistral Large 3

St. Louis City's unbeaten run of 15 matches, home advantage, and historical dominance over Los Angeles Galaxy (undefeated in their last five meetings) make them clear favorites. However, Galaxy's resilience and recent form suggest a competitive match, with a draw a strong possibility.

Kimi K3

St. Louis City are unbeaten in all five previous meetings with the Galaxy (winning this exact home fixture 2-1 last year) and sit well above them in the West with the tighter defense. LA Galaxy draw frequently (7 in 20) and have attacking quality through Reus, so a stalemate is live, but their leaky away record makes a narrow home win the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

St. Louis City's 15-match unbeaten run, home advantage at CITYPARK, and undefeated head-to-head record against LA Galaxy (including a 2-1 win in this fixture last year) make them clear favorites against a Galaxy side 13th in the West with only 5 wins in 20 matches.

GPT-5.6 Sol

St. Louis have the stronger defensive record, better overall results, and home advantage, while their unbeaten head-to-head record against the Galaxy adds confidence. The Galaxy's creative quality should still give them a reasonable chance to score and keep the contest competitive.

Qwen3.7 Plus

St. Louis City are in outstanding form with a 15-match unbeaten run, sit 5th in the West with a near-locked playoff spot, and are historically undefeated against LA Galaxy (including a 2-1 win last year). The Galaxy languish in 13th with a -6 goal difference and have never beaten St. Louis, though their creative threat from Reus keeps them in the match.

Grok 4.5

St. Louis sit 5th with a strong home record and long unbeaten run while Galaxy are mid-table lower with poorer GD; historical edge and Citypark factor make a narrow home win the most likely 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

St. Louis City are on a remarkable 15-match unbeaten run at home, sit 5th in the West, and have never lost to the Galaxy in five all-time meetings (including a 3-1 away win in July). Los Angeles Galaxy, sitting 13th with a -6 goal difference, are missing Paintsil and will be without the departed Hartel's influence having already moved on, but Reus and former St. Louis striker Klauss could keep it competitive.

GLM-5.2

St. Louis City are unbeaten in 15 league matches, sit 7 points clear of the Galaxy, and have never lost to LA (0-2-3 all-time including a 2-1 win in this exact fixture last year). The Galaxy's high draw rate (7 in 20) keeps the draw alive, but St. Louis's home form and historical dominance make them clear favorites.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSt. Louis City
1.51
DrawLevel at 90′
5.03
AwayLos Angeles Galaxy
5.62