St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 21·23 Aug · 00:30 UTC·CITYPARK·✓ Completed
St. Louis City flagSt. Louis City
21
Houston Dynamo flagHouston Dynamo

AI consensus

Consensus pick
St. Louis City
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 88% · D 0% · A 12%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
St. Louis City2.16
Draw3.47
Houston Dynamo3.34

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
36%29%35%1-1✓ hit
38%29%33%1-1✓ hit
39%28%33%1-1✓ hit
40%28%32%2-1✓ hit
39%29%32%1-1✓ hit
32%28%40%1-2✗ miss
39%27%34%1-1✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
36%34%30%1-1✓ hit
45%30%25%1-1✓ hit
40%28%32%1-0✓ hit
44%27%29%1-1✓ hit
38%28%34%1-1✓ hit
38%29%33%1-1✓ hit
34%29%37%1-1✗ miss
36%30%34%1-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
40%27%33%2-1✓ hit
37%29%34%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 29% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 28% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✓ hit✓ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 29% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 27% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 34% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 29% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 30% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 27% · A 33%✓ hit✓ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 29% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
This page records every AI model's prediction for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo played?
The match kicked off 23 Aug · 00:30 UTC at CITYPARK. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was St. Louis City, and the match finished 2–1. 88% of 17 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
Of 17 models: 88% picked St. Louis City, 0% a draw, and 12% Houston Dynamo. The consensus pick was St. Louis City; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): St. Louis City 2.16 · Draw 3.47 · Houston Dynamo 3.34. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.