St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D34%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
St. Louis are strong at home and unbeaten against Houston in league play, but Houston lead the West and are on a strong run; the teams have similar quality with tight defenses, making a low-scoring, closely-contested match most likely.
Two of the league's lower-scoring, defensively organised sides meet: St. Louis are hard to beat at Energizer Park and are on a long unbeaten run, while Houston arrive top of the West on a winning streak but built on narrow 1-0 type results. Home advantage roughly cancels Houston's form edge, making a tight, low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
St. Louis are unbeaten in their last 10 MLS matches and strong at home, while Houston arrive top of the West on a five-match winning run with five straight clean sheets; both sides' defensive solidity points to a tight, low-scoring game with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
St. Louis City boasts an impressive 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions and holds home advantage. However, Houston Dynamo arrives as the Western Conference leaders on a five-match winning streak, making a tightly contested draw the most probable outcome.
St. Louis City enter on an 11-match unbeaten streak across all competitions and hold home advantage at Energizer Park. Although Western Conference leaders Houston Dynamo are on a five-game winning streak, St. Louis's home resilience gives them a slight edge in a tightly fought contest.
St. Louis City brings an 11-match unbeaten run across all competitions into Energizer Park, while Western Conference leaders Houston Dynamo have won five straight league matches. With both sides in peak form and possessing well-matched metrics, a closely fought score draw is the most probable outcome.
Houston Dynamo enters as the Western Conference leader on a five-game winning streak, showing strong momentum. While St. Louis is unbeaten in 11 across all competitions and strong at home, Houston's current league form and top-of-the-table status make them slight favorites.
St. Louis is unbeaten in 11 across all competitions, rested and unbeaten vs Houston in league play (1-0-1) at Energizer Park, while Houston arrives on two days rest after a 1-0 win over Vancouver to make it five straight wins; two low-scoring sides (27-28 GF in 19 games) point to a tight, low-goal draw or narrow home edge.
St. Louis are unbeaten in 11 across all competitions at home, while Houston sit top of the West on a 5-match MLS winning streak but played just three days earlier (Thursday vs Vancouver) and have historically struggled on the road; the evenly matched goal differences (St. Louis +2, Houston +4), St. Louis's historical edge in this fixture (1-0-1), and Houston's short turnaround point to a tight, cagey draw as the single most likely outcome.
St. Louis City's strong home form (unbeaten in 11 across competitions) and their historical edge over Houston in league play (1-0-1) are countered by Houston's current five-match winning streak and superior defensive record. The draw probability is elevated due to St. Louis's tendency to drop points in tight matches and Houston's struggles away from home.
St. Louis is well-rested after a bye and unbeaten in its last 11 matches across all competitions, while Houston faces a quick turnaround after a midweek road match; both sides have solid defenses, pointing to a tight, low-scoring home win.
Houston leads the West and has won five straight, but they played Thursday (1-0 over Vancouver) and now travel on roughly two days' rest — a big spot for a St. Louis side unbeaten in 11 across all competitions and tough at Energizer Park. Houston's modest +4 GD and weak road history suggest their streak is fragile, so I lean home with a tight, low-scoring match most likely.
Houston leads the West on a 5-game MLS win streak but has a poor 2-4-0 away record; St. Louis is unbeaten in 11 across all competitions, unbeaten in league H2H (1-0-1), and returns home after a bye. Both sides average ~1.4 GF/GA per game, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest.
St. Louis have home advantage and an 11-match unbeaten run, while Houston arrive as conference leaders on five straight league wins but with a short turnaround after Thursday's match. Both teams' solid defensive records point toward a close, relatively low-scoring contest.
Houston arrives on a five-match winning streak and leads the Western Conference, but St. Louis City is unbeaten in 11 across all competitions and has dominated this fixture at Energizer Park historically (including two 3-0 home wins). Both teams boast strong defenses (24-25 GA each), making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome despite Houston's superior current form.
St. Louis rides an 11-match unbeaten run and strong home H2H into Energizer Park, while conference-leading Houston arrives on a five-win clean-sheet streak; the clash of two in-form sides points to a tight, low-scoring draw as the modal outcome.
St. Louis City is on an 11-match unbeaten run and holds a strong 3-1-1 home record against Houston with all meetings producing 3+ goals; Houston's five-match winning streak and conference-leading quality make them dangerous, but short rest after a Wednesday road trip from Vancouver to St. Louis gives the hosts a slight edge.
Houston leads the West and has won five straight, but St. Louis is unbeaten in 11 across all competitions, holds a positive head-to-head record against Houston in league play, and enjoys home advantage at Energizer Park — making this a tightly contested affair where a draw is highly plausible.
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo