St. Louis City
FC Dallas| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H49%D26%A25% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two evenly matched sides separated by two points, with St. Louis's structured press and strong home form at Energizer Park offsetting Dallas's excellent road record; Dallas arrive off a heavy 5-0 loss at Vancouver but still carry Musa's goal threat. Low-scoring profiles on both sides make a tight, one-goal game or a draw the likeliest outcome.
St. Louis rides an 11-match MLS unbeaten streak and just beat first-place Houston 2-1 at home, while FC Dallas is fatigued from a nine-game road trip, coming off a 5-0 thrashing at Vancouver, and saw top scorer Musa nursing a hamstring issue. The last two H2H meetings ended 1-1, but St. Louis's momentum and home advantage tip the scales.
St. Louis City hold strong home momentum at Energizer Park following a win over Houston, giving them the edge over a Dallas side reeling from a heavy away defeat despite the threat of top scorer Petar Musa.
St. Louis at Energizer Park off a 2-1 win over West-leading Houston and an unbeaten streak vs Dallas with a refined high press, versus a Dallas side with the West's best away record but coming off a 5-0 loss at Vancouver - a tight top-6 clash that leans slightly to the home side in a both-teams-to-score game.
St. Louis City holds a slight edge with home advantage at Energizer Park, recent form (2-1 win over Houston), and a historical unbeaten streak versus Dallas. However, FC Dallas owns the Western Conference's best away record and have a top scorer in P. Musa (13 goals), even after a heavy 5-0 loss at Vancouver; combined with both sides' similar points and defensive records, a tight draw is the most plausible outcome.
St. Louis City and FC Dallas are closely matched in form and standings, with both teams displaying strong defensive structures and recent resilience. St. Louis's high-pressure system and home advantage are countered by Dallas's solid away record and tactical discipline, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
Two nearly even teams (1.53 vs 1.50 PPG), but St. Louis has home advantage, momentum from a 2-1 win over Houston, a refined high press, and an unbeaten H2H streak against Dallas. Dallas boasts the West's best away record and 13-goal Musa, yet arrives off a demoralizing 5-0 loss at Vancouver; the tight quality gap keeps the draw probability honest.
St. Louis City's home advantage, unbeaten streak against Dallas, and recent 2-1 win over conference leaders Houston Dynamo give them a slight edge, though Dallas's league-best away record and Pedro Musa's scoring form keep the visitors dangerous.
St. Louis have home advantage, an improving press, and momentum from beating Houston, while Dallas arrive after a heavy 5-0 away loss. Dallas remain dangerous through 13-goal Petar Musa and have traveled well overall, so this should be competitive.
St. Louis City are in strong form, fresh off a 2-1 win over league-leading Houston and riding an unbeaten streak at Energizer Park, with their high-press system and central midfield bite giving them an edge at home. FC Dallas boast the West's best away record but are reeling from a demoralizing 5-0 loss to Vancouver, and their leaky defense on the road should be exploited by a confident St. Louis side.
St. Louis sit slightly ahead on points with home advantage and recent win over Houston, while Dallas boast the West's best away record and stronger attack but arrive off a heavy loss; sides are tightly matched so a low-scoring draw is the modal outcome.
St. Louis City ride an 11-game unbeaten run and home momentum after beating Houston, while FC Dallas arrive at the end of a grueling 9-game road trip fresh off a 5-0 thrashing at Vancouver and have been shut out three times in their last five.
St. Louis is riding a franchise-record 11-game unbeaten run (8-0-3), the longest in MLS this season, fresh off a 2-1 win over first-place Houston, while FC Dallas arrives at the end of a grueling nine-game road trip reeling from a 5-0 thrashing at Vancouver and having never won at Energizer Park. Dallas does boast the West's best away record, which keeps them in contention, but the combination of St. Louis's momentum, home advantage, and Dallas's road fatigue tilts this firmly toward the hosts.
St. Louis CityFC Dallas