Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H26%D25%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H26%D25%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 0–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D24%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H19%D24%A57% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H30%D25%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H24%D23%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H26%D24%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
St. Louis City are a mid-table side with a positive goal difference and recent form (3-1 win at San Jose), while Sporting KC are bottom of the West with a dismal -30 GD and 13 losses in 19, making the visitors clear favorites despite the home venue.
Sporting KC have been the worst team in MLS defensively (48 goals conceded, -30 GD) and even at Children's Mercy Park they concede regularly, while St. Louis are a solid, structured side with a positive goal difference and better recent results. St. Louis's modest scoring output (27 goals) keeps this from being a blowout, so a narrow away win with a real chance of a draw is the fair read.
Sporting Kansas City sit bottom of the West with the league's leakiest defense, while St. Louis City are a top-five Western side and should control the game, though the rivalry and SKC's home field keep the hosts competitive.
Sporting Kansas City sits at the bottom of the Western Conference with a dismal defensive record, conceding 48 goals in 19 matches. Despite home advantage, they face a solid St. Louis City side that should capitalize on Sporting KC's vulnerabilities to secure an away victory.
Sporting Kansas City sit bottom of the Western Conference after losing 13 of their 19 matches while conceding a league-high 48 goals. St. Louis City, currently fifth in the West, should capitalize on SKC's defensive vulnerabilities despite playing away in this rivalry clash.
Sporting Kansas City has endured a miserable campaign, sitting bottom of the Western Conference having conceded a league-worst 48 goals in 19 matches. Although cross-state rivalry matches are often closely fought, St. Louis City's balanced midfield and superior defensive stability should see them edge the victory on the road.
Sporting Kansas City is currently bottom of the Western Conference with the league's worst defense (48 goals conceded) and a significant goal difference of -30. St. Louis City is in much stronger form, sitting 5th in the conference and coming off a convincing road win, making them heavy favorites against a struggling SKC side.
St. Louis City (+2 GD, 29 pts) are far superior to league-worst Sporting KC (-30 GD, 14 pts, 48 GA in 19) and arrive off a 3-1 win at San Jose, while SKC rely heavily on 6-goal Joveljic and new reinforcements to fix a porous defense.
Sporting Kansas City (15th, 4W-2D-13L, -30 GD, league-worst 48 goals conceded) are in historically poor form, while St. Louis City (5th, 8W-5D-6L, +2 GD) are well above them in the table and arriving off a 3-1 road win at San Jose. St. Louis' significant quality edge on both ends outweighs the away setting, though Sporting KC's desperation and home crowd keep the upset probability meaningful.
St. Louis City enters this match in better form and with stronger underlying metrics (e.g., goal difference, recent results) compared to Sporting Kansas City, who struggle with consistency and defensive issues. However, the rivalry and Kansas City's attacking reinforcements add uncertainty, making a draw or narrow away win the most likely outcomes.
St. Louis City holds a 15-point lead over Sporting Kansas City and a vastly superior goal difference (+2 vs. -30), reflecting a wide quality gap. Sporting KC’s league-worst defense and anemic attack make a St. Louis road win the most probable outcome.
Sporting KC's league-worst defensive record (48 goals conceded in 19 games) makes them vulnerable even at home to a balanced St. Louis side that scores consistently and just showed strong road form. Home advantage, the rivalry factor, and SKC's mid-season reinforcements keep an upset or draw live, but St. Louis's clear quality edge makes an away win most likely, with 1-2 the most probable decisive scoreline.
St. Louis City sits 5th in the West with a +2 GD and 29 points, while Sporting KC is last with a -30 GD and only 14 points; SKC have conceded 2.53 goals per game, the league's worst defense, and St. Louis arrives on a 3-1 road win at San Jose. Despite home advantage, the quality gap and SKC's defensive frailty make an away win the most likely outcome.
St. Louis have been substantially stronger at both ends, while Sporting KC’s league-worst defensive record makes the visitors favorites despite Kansas City’s home advantage.
St. Louis City sits 15 points above dead-last Sporting KC in the Western Conference and arrives off a dominant 3-1 win over San Jose, while SKC owns the league's worst defense (48 GA) and weakest attack (18 GF), making a home turnaround unlikely despite recent roster additions.
SKC sit bottom of the West with a -30 GD and leaky defense (48 GA in 19), while St. Louis are a solid mid-table side with positive GD and better balance; even at home SKC are clear underdogs, making an away win the most likely result with 1-2 the modal scoreline.
Sporting KC are in dire form—last in the West at 14 points, on a three-game losing streak, scoreless in their last three matches, and with the worst goal difference in the conference (-30). St. Louis City sit 5th with 29 points, are coming off an impressive 3-1 road win at San Jose, and hold a 4-2-3 H2H edge. While the rivalry and home venue offer Sporting KC some hope—especially with Joveljić's strong record against St. Louis—the gulf in quality and current form makes an away win the most likely outcome.
St. Louis City sit 5th in the West with a positive goal difference and are coming off a 3-1 road win at San Jose, while Sporting KC are dead last with just 14 points and a league-worst -30 GD. Despite SKC's home advantage and new signings, St. Louis's superior quality should prevail in this rivalry clash.
Sporting Kansas CitySt. Louis City