Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 20·20 Aug · 00:00 UTC·Children's Mercy Park·✓ Completed
Sporting Kansas City flagSporting Kansas City
11
St. Louis City flagSt. Louis City

AI consensus

Consensus pick
St. Louis City
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 0% · D 0% · A 100%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Sporting Kansas City3.53
Draw3.93
St. Louis City1.94

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
27%25%48%1-2✗ miss
27%25%48%1-2✗ miss
26%25%49%1-2✗ miss
26%25%49%1-2✗ miss
29%26%45%1-2✗ miss
22%26%52%0-2✗ miss
27%24%49%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
24%26%50%1-2✗ miss
30%30%40%1-2✗ miss
19%24%57%1-2✗ miss
30%25%45%1-2✗ miss
22%28%50%1-2✗ miss
24%23%53%1-2✗ miss
25%26%49%1-2✗ miss
22%26%52%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
26%24%50%1-2✗ miss
24%26%50%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 25% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 25% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 25% · A 49%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 25% · A 49%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 29% · D 26% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY0-2
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 24% · A 49%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 26% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 19% · D 24% · A 57%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 25% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 28% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 23% · A 53%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 26% · A 49%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 26% · A 52%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 26% · D 24% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 26% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 20). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City played?
The match kicked off 20 Aug · 00:00 UTC at Children's Mercy Park. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
No. The AI consensus picked St. Louis City, but the match finished 1–1 — a draw. 100% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
Of 17 models: 0% picked Sporting Kansas City, 0% a draw, and 100% St. Louis City. The consensus pick was St. Louis City; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Sporting Kansas City 3.53 · Draw 3.93 · St. Louis City 1.94. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.