Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H29%D25%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D33%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H27%D24%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H22%D24%A54% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H37%D34%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H36%D34%A30% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Sporting KC are the league's worst side, conceding nearly 2.5 goals per game, and even with home advantage they offer little resistance; Real Salt Lake are a mid-table playoff side with far better balance, though their recent dip in form and historically poor road record keep this from being a lock.
Real Salt Lake's league-worst road form and long away winless run are a major concern, while Sporting KC has scored three goals in three straight home games; RSL also miss key figures Glad and Luna.
Sporting Kansas City have endured a miserable campaign with 13 losses and a league-worst -30 goal difference. Real Salt Lake hold a clear edge in quality and overall consistency to secure a narrow road victory.
RSL are the stronger side on the table but carry a league-worst 12-game winless away run (0-9-3) and just one win in two months, while bottom-placed SKC get home advantage at Sporting Park where RSL have lost five straight on the road, making a narrow home win or low-scoring draw most likely.
Sporting KC are the worst team in MLS (14 pts, -30 GD, only 18 goals scored) but they are at home, where they have a slight edge given RSL's dreadful away record (12-game road winless streak, 0-9-3). RSL is the clearly superior side on paper (28 pts, +4 GD, 6th in West) but their chronic road struggles neutralize that advantage, making a low-scoring draw the most probable single outcome despite RSL being marginal favorites to win.
Sporting Kansas City's attacking depth is offset by their poor recent form and Real Salt Lake's struggles on the road, though RSL has shown resilience in recent head-to-head encounters. Both teams are evenly matched in motivation, making a draw the most balanced outcome.
Real Salt Lake are clearly the stronger side (6th vs 15th in the West, +4 vs -30 goal difference, and SKC's league-worst 48 goals conceded) and already won 3-1 at this venue, but MLS home advantage and RSL's patchy road form keep a Sporting KC result or a draw very much in play.
Sporting KC is the worst team in MLS (4-2-13, -30 GD) but Real Salt Lake has the league's longest active road winless streak (0-9-3 in last 12 away). RSL's superior underlying quality (28 pts, +4 GD) and a recent 3-1 head-to-head win edge them as favorites despite horrendous away form; the draw probability is elevated given both teams' struggles.
Real Salt Lake have been substantially stronger at both ends, while Sporting Kansas City own the league’s weakest defensive record. Home advantage keeps SKC competitive, but RSL are more likely to exploit their defensive vulnerability.
Real Salt Lake (6th, 28 pts) are clearly the stronger side on paper, but their catastrophic away form (0-9-3 in last 12 road games, 5-game road losing streak) severely limits their edge over a Sporting KC side (15th, 14 pts) that at least has home advantage. SKC's league-worst attack (18 goals in 19 games) keeps them from being favored at home, making a low-scoring draw or narrow RSL win the most likely outcomes.
RSL's historically awful road form (longest winless and losing streaks in MLS) outweighs their superior table position and playoff motivation against a depleted but recently free-scoring SKC side at home; both defenses are porous enough for a narrow home win as the modal outcome.
RSL have the worst road record in MLS (1-10-3 away, 13-game winless run on the road) and have won just once since the World Cup, making an away victory very unlikely despite their superior overall quality. Sporting KC have scored three goals in three straight home matches, suggesting a competitive contest that most likely ends level.
Real Salt Lake are far superior in the standings (28 pts vs 14) but carry a 12-game road winless streak (0-9-3), the longest in MLS, which heavily neutralizes their quality advantage. Sporting KC's dreadful season (18 goals scored, -30 GD) limits their ability to capitalize, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake