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Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers — predictions and result

Sporting Kansas City
90-minute result3–3
Portland Timbers
Regular Season - 28Children's Mercy Park

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H29%D24%A47%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H30%D25%A45%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H33%D27%A40%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H31%D26%A43%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H22%D25%A53%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H27%D26%A47%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H22%D28%A50%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H25%D24%A51%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H30%D27%A43%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H28%D26%A46%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H30%D27%A43%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H24%D27%A49%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Sporting KC are comfortably the league's worst side, leaking goals at roughly 2.5 per game, while Portland carry a potent if erratic attack and should find openings even on the road. Portland's recent slide and SKC's home-field edge keep this from being a lock, so a close away win or draw is the realistic range.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Sporting Kansas City sit bottom of the Western Conference with the league's worst goal difference, while Portland have been clearly stronger overall despite their recent three-game slide, so the away side is the more likely winner.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Sporting Kansas City have endured a difficult campaign with the league's leakiest defense, giving the playoff-chasing Timbers a prime opportunity to grab a vital road victory despite their own recent struggles.

Muse Spark 1.2

Portland are clearly stronger on season output and face the league's worst defence (48 conceded), but a three-game losing streak and road trip limits the edge, pointing to a narrow away win with high draw potential.

MiniMax M3

Sporting Kansas City is the league's worst team by goal differential (-30) and points (14), while Portland sits mid-table in playoff contention despite a three-game slide. Portland's superior squad quality should overcome the recent slump against such a weak opponent, though Sporting KC's home advantage and Portland's cold streak keep the draw and upset probability meaningful.

Kimi K3

Sporting Kansas City are the league's bottom side (14 pts, -30 GD, 48 goals conceded in 19 games) and Portland, despite a three-game losing streak, have far more attacking quality and playoff motivation; SKC's home advantage keeps them in it, but Portland's firepower should prevail.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Sporting Kansas City are the league's worst side with just 4 wins and a -30 goal difference; Portland, despite a three-match losing streak, have clearly better underlying numbers (24 pts, 0 GD) and face an ideal opponent to reverse their slump.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Sporting Kansas City have the league’s weakest defensive record and very limited scoring output. Portland are inconsistent but possess substantially more attacking threat, making them the likelier winners despite playing away.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Sporting KC is the league's worst side (14 pts, -30 GD, conceding 2.5 goals/game) and should struggle against a Portland side that, despite a three-game losing streak, remains significantly stronger on paper (24 pts, +0 GD). Portland's superior attack should exploit SKC's leaky defense, though home advantage and Portland's poor recent form keep the upset and draw probabilities meaningful.

Grok 4.5

SKC sit bottom of the West with a league-worst defense (48 GA) and only 14 points from 19 games, while Portland are mid-table with balanced attack/defense despite a recent slide; the Timbers' superior quality and need for points make an away win the most likely result in a typically open MLS match.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Portland are the better side overall but have been dreadful on the road (0-7-1 outside the Pacific Time Zone) and are on a three-game losing streak, while SKC's attack has been revitalized by a new designated player with 5 goals in 4 games. Both defenses are the worst in the Western Conference, so goals are expected, but Portland's superior quality should still edge it in a tight, high-scoring contest.

GLM-5.2

Sporting Kansas City are the league's worst side with just 14 points, 18 goals scored, and 48 conceded in 19 matches, making them vulnerable even at home. Portland, despite a three-game losing streak, are a far superior side and face the ideal opponent to rebound against.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSporting Kansas City
2.77
DrawLevel at 90′
4.18
AwayPortland Timbers
2.31