Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union — predictions and result
Sporting Kansas City
90-minute result3–4
Philadelphia Union
Regular Season - 26Children's Mercy Park
Predictions
12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Sporting KC have been the league's worst side defensively, conceding at roughly 2.5 goals per game, and their attack is the league's least productive, which outweighs a normally strong home-field edge. Philadelphia are also struggling but are the better-balanced team and have shown improved form, making a narrow away win the most likely single outcome with a real chance of a low-scoring draw.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Philadelphia arrive on a four-match winning streak and a 10-game unbeaten run, while Sporting Kansas City sit bottom of the West with a -30 goal difference; the Union's form makes them clear favorites despite the road venue.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Philadelphia Union enter this match in sensational form on a 10-match unbeaten run with four consecutive victories, while Sporting Kansas City remain bottom of the Western Conference despite a recent upset win.
Muse Spark 1.2
Philadelphia's four straight wins and 10-game unbeaten run with 15-1 scoring and one goal conceded in four contrasts sharply with Sporting KC's league-worst defence and -30 goal difference, outweighing home advantage despite KC's recent upset of LAFC.
MiniMax M3
Philadelphia is described as the hottest team in MLS, riding a 10-game unbeaten run with an 8-0-2 record and a 15-1 goal differential over their last four matches, while Sporting Kansas City has the worst attack in the league (18 goals in 19 games) and a league-worst -30 goal differential. Despite SKC's home advantage and their recent upset of LAFC, Philadelphia's surging form and SKC's anemic offense make a low-scoring away win the most likely outcome.
Kimi K3
Philadelphia are the form team in MLS — a 10-game unbeaten league run with four straight wins and a 15-1 aggregate across those outings — so they merit favoritism even on the road. Sporting Kansas City just beat LAFC and have home advantage plus Wicky's compact 4-4-2 rest defense, which keeps an upset or a draw genuinely in play.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Philadelphia Union arrive on a 10-match unbeaten run (8-0-2) with a 15-1 goal margin over their last four games, while Sporting Kansas City sit bottom of the Western Conference with the league's worst defense (48 GA) despite a recent upset over LAFC.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Philadelphia’s 10-match unbeaten run and dominant 15-1 aggregate across their last four make them favorites against a defensively vulnerable Sporting side. Kansas City’s home advantage and recent win over LAFC keep the draw and home-win chances meaningful.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Philadelphia Union are in extraordinary form with a 10-game unbeaten run, four-match winning streak, and a 15-1 goal differential in their last four outings, facing the league's worst side in Sporting Kansas City. Despite SKC's home advantage and a morale-boosting win over LAFC, the Union's surging attack and defensive solidity make them clear favorites to extend their run.
Grok 4.5
Philadelphia are in blistering form (unbeaten in 10, four straight wins, 15-1 in last four) while SKC remain the league's weakest side by a distance despite a recent upset; Union's defensive solidity and attack should secure an away win.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Philadelphia Union are the hottest team in MLS, riding a 10-game unbeaten run with a 15-1 goal margin in their last four, while Sporting KC have the league's worst defense (48 GA in 19) and worst goal difference (-30), making an away win the most probable outcome despite SKC's home advantage.
GLM-5.2
Philadelphia Union are on a 10-game unbeaten run with four straight wins and a 15-1 goal differential in their last four, while Sporting Kansas City sit last in the West with a league-worst -30 goal difference despite a recent upset over LAFC. The Union's scorching form makes them strong favorites even away from home.