Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D29%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D27%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.5 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D32%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H34%D29%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H31%D28%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H29%D27%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H25%D28%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Vancouver top the West with the best defense and goal difference, but their winger-less form (2 of last 8) plus injuries to Brian White and Veselinovic, against a defensively solid Seattle side at Lumen Field on a losing streak, points to a tight, low-scoring game with the Whitecaps holding a modest edge.
Vancouver are the stronger side by clear margin — top-two in the West with the conference's best goal difference and strong scoring output — while Seattle have stumbled recently and score sparingly. Seattle's excellent home defensive record and the Cascadia derby edge keep this tight, so a low-scoring draw is a very live outcome even though the Whitecaps are the likeliest winners.
Vancouver's underlying numbers are far stronger (most goals scored and fewest conceded in the West), while Seattle are on a six-game slide and missing several key starters; however, the Cascadia rivalry, home field, and Vancouver's own recent slump plus Brian White's absence keep it close and make a low-scoring draw a live outcome.
Vancouver has been significantly better this season, sitting 2nd in the West with a +21 goal difference, but both teams enter in poor form. Seattle's strong defense at Lumen Field should keep the match competitive, making a low-scoring draw or narrow away win the most likely outcome.
Both Cascadia rivals enter this derby in mediocre form, with Seattle winning just once in their last five matches and Vancouver winning only twice in their last eight. Given Seattle's strong defensive record at home and Vancouver's high-scoring but recently stuttering attack, a tightly contested draw is the most probable outcome.
Despite Seattle's strong home presence and disciplined defensive structure, Vancouver Whitecaps have been one of the Western Conference's standout sides this season with high firepower. A tightly contested Cascadia derby should see Vancouver's superior attacking quality edge out a close victory.
Vancouver is in significantly better league form and sits 2nd in the West with a strong goal difference (+21), while Seattle has struggled recently with only one win in their last five. Although Seattle is defensively solid, Vancouver's superior overall season performance makes them the favorites in this Cascadia Cup clash.
Vancouver's far superior season profile (+21 GD vs -2, 38 goals scored vs 20) makes them narrow favourites even away, while Seattle's strong home defence (22 GA, 3rd-fewest in West) and both teams' poor recent form (Seattle 1-1-3 in last five) point to a tight, low-scoring game.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with a +21 goal difference and 38 goals scored in 17 games — vastly superior to Seattle's -2 GD and just 20 goals — but Seattle's home advantage and the unpredictable Cascadia Cup rivalry, plus both clubs arriving in patchy form, keep the home side and draw live. Vancouver's attacking depth (featuring Müller) and Seattle's low-scoring profile point to a narrow away win, most likely 1-2.
Both teams are in poor form, but Seattle Sounders are defensively solid (third-fewest goals conceded in the Western Conference), while Vancouver Whitecaps have a strong goal difference and a tendency to score late. The match is likely to be tightly contested, with a draw a realistic outcome.
Vancouver enters as the stronger side with elite defensive numbers (17 GA) and a potent attack, while Seattle has scored just 20 goals in 17 matches and won only once in their last five. Still, the Sounders' organized defense and home rivalry edge should keep the contest close, likely producing a low-scoring affair.
Vancouver are clearly the stronger side this season (GD +21 vs Seattle's -2, far more goals scored and fewer conceded), while Seattle arrive in poor form (1W-1D-3L in their last five) despite a decent home defense. The Cascadia rivalry and Lumen Field keep Seattle competitive and both teams scoring is likely, but Vancouver's superior attack makes a narrow away win the single most likely outcome.
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd in the West with a +21 GD and 34 points vs Seattle's 11th place, -2 GD and 24 points; Vancouver's attack (38 GF) outperforms Seattle's defense (22 GA, 3rd fewest), while Seattle's offense (20 GF) struggles against Vancouver's stingy defense (17 GA). Seattle's home advantage and Cascadia rivalry keep the draw probability elevated, but Vancouver's superior underlying numbers favor the away win.
Vancouver’s markedly stronger scoring output and league-best defensive record give them the overall edge, but Seattle’s solid defense and home advantage make a low-scoring draw the likeliest individual scoreline.
Vancouver Whitecaps are far superior on the season — 2nd in the West with a +21 GD, the conference's best defense (17 GA), and a potent attack (38 GF) — while Seattle's offense is anemic (20 GF in 17 games) and their recent form is poor (1W, 1D, 3L in last five). Seattle's home advantage and solid defense keep it competitive, but Vancouver's quality should edge a tight Cascadia Cup clash.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with elite GD and attack while Seattle are mid-table with only 20 goals scored; Sounders' solid home defense and Cascadia rivalry keep the gap from being larger, but Whitecaps' quality edges a narrow away win.
Vancouver sit atop the West with the best attack (38 GF) and defense (17 GA), while Seattle are mired in a club-record five-game losing streak including a 1-5 home defeat to Portland, though their underlying defensive numbers (third-fewest goals conceded) and Cascadia Cup home atmosphere provide enough of a floor to keep this competitive rather than a blowout.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with a league-best +21 goal difference and only 17 goals conceded in 17 games, making them clearly superior to a Seattle side that has struggled offensively (20 GF in 17). However, Seattle's solid defense (22 GA) and home-field advantage in a Cascadia rivalry keep this competitive, elevating the draw probability.
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps