Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H60%D24%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H57%D24%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–2 | H17%D23%A60% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H57%D25%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H58%D27%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H67%D20%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H56%D23%A21% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Seattle at home against the West's worst side, whose leaky defense (48 conceded) makes them vulnerable even to the Sounders' modest attack; Seattle's low scoring output and SKC's 1-1 draw in the earlier meeting keep the draw live, but home advantage and the gulf in quality point to a comfortable home win.
Seattle are in stronger form and at home, while Sporting Kansas City sit bottom of the West with the league's leakiest defence. The Sounders should control the game, though SKC's earlier 1-1 draw in this matchup keeps the draw probability meaningful.
Sporting Kansas City enter this fixture with the league's worst defensive record, having conceded 48 goals and lost 13 of their 19 matches. Seattle's superior defensive structure and home advantage at Lumen Field make them strong favorites to take all three points.
Seattle at home face the West's bottom side Sporting KC (-30 GD, 48 GA in 19) with Seattle's much tighter defence (22 GA in 17) and surging post-Club World Cup form; SKC's over-reliance on Joveljic and vulnerability on the counter tilts it to Seattle in a low-scoring game.
Sporting Kansas City sit dead-last in the West with a -30 goal difference and 48 goals conceded in 19 matches (worst defense in MLS), while Seattle Sounders — described as 'surging' with strong away form — have a clear quality edge despite their mid-table standing. SKC's reliance on Joveljic for goals and their vulnerability on the counter (per Sports Mole) further favors a Sounders win, though the previous meeting this season ended 1-1, justifying a meaningful draw probability.
Seattle Sounders enter this fixture in stronger form, with a recent unbeaten streak and better away performance, while Sporting Kansas City are struggling and vulnerable to counters. However, draws are common in this fixture historically, and Kansas City's home advantage tempers Seattle's edge.
Sporting KC sit bottom of the West with the league's worst defense (48 conceded, -30 GD) and just 18 goals scored, while Seattle defend well (22 GA) and have won the majority of this fixture historically. Seattle's own modest scoring keeps a draw like the 1-1 earlier this season plausible, but a home shutout win is the likeliest outcome.
Seattle's superior underlying form (7W-3D-7L, -2 GD) versus Sporting KC's catastrophic season (4W-2D-13L, -30 GD) and league-worst defence (48 GA) outweighs home advantage; Seattle's excellent recent away form and historical dominance (14-11-5 H2H) support a narrow win, but MLS draw frequency (~24%) and Sporting's May 1-1 draw keep the draw probability honest.
Seattle's home advantage and significantly stronger defensive record make them clear favorites. Sporting Kansas City have lost 13 of 19 matches and conceded 48 goals, leaving them vulnerable despite the previous 1-1 meeting.
Seattle are surging with strong recent form and home advantage at Lumen Field, while Sporting KC sit dead last with the league's worst defense (48 GA in 19 games) and are heavily reliant on Joveljic for goals. The first meeting ended 1-1, but Seattle's superior defensive solidity and Sporting's vulnerability on the counter should tilt this in the home side's favor.
Seattle sit mid-table with a solid home base and far better defensive record, while bottom-placed SKC have conceded 48 goals in 19 games and offer little attacking threat; home advantage and quality gap favor a controlled Sounders win.
Seattle are the significantly stronger side (24 pts vs 14 pts, far superior goal difference) and are at home where they have historically dominated this series, while Sporting KC have the worst defensive record in the West (-30 GD, 48 goals conceded). However, their earlier meeting this season ended 1-1 and Sporting KC showed some resilience, so a narrower margin than expected is likely.
Seattle are at home against the league's worst side, with Sporting KC conceding 48 goals in 19 games (2.5 per match) while scoring just 18. The Sounders' solid defense (22 GA in 17) should comfortably contain SKC's league-worst attack, and Seattle's strong recent form plus a favorable H2H record point to a home win.
Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas City