Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H46%D28%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H45%D26%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H33%D37%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H27%D39%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D35%A28% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Seattle's home advantage at Lumen Field offsets Real Salt Lake's marginally better points-per-game, but the Sounders are a notably low-scoring side (around 1.2 goals per game) while RSL carry more attacking threat and are solid on the road, pointing to a tight, low-total contest. A one-goal margin or a level score are near-equally likely, so the draw gets full weight.
Seattle's home edge and steadier defence give them a narrow edge, but Real Salt Lake's stronger attack and better points-per-game form keep the match very close; the most probable single scoreline is 1-1.
Seattle Sounders hold a customary home advantage at Lumen Field in tight Western Conference battles, where their disciplined defensive structure should narrowly edge a capable Real Salt Lake side.
Seattle's five straight draws and noted home strength makes them slight favorites at Lumen Field, but Real Salt Lake's superior attack (30 goals vs 20) and higher table position balances it, pointing to a tight, low-scoring stalemate where 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.
Seattle at Lumen Field typically enjoy a strong home advantage, and their defensive record is solid (only 22 goals conceded in 17 games, ~1.29 per match). RSL are the slightly higher-placed side with better goal difference, but they score and concede more freely; on the road they should struggle to break down a compact Seattle defense. Expect a tight, low-scoring match with Seattle edging it.
RSL has the slightly better season profile (more points, far more goals), but Seattle's home edge, solid defensive record (22 conceded in 17) and a historically tight, low-scoring head-to-head (2.07 goals/game, near-even 46 meetings) make the Sounders modest favorites in a match where the draw is a live outcome given Seattle's weak attack (20 goals in 17).
Seattle's five-match draw streak at home meets Real Salt Lake's superior away form and slight edge in conference standings; H2H history averages just over two goals per game, pointing to a low-scoring stalemate.
Seattle's home advantage and relatively solid defense offset Real Salt Lake's stronger scoring record and slightly better overall results. The matchup looks balanced enough for a low-margin draw to be the likeliest exact scoreline.
Real Salt Lake hold a clear edge in form and quality (28 pts, +4 GD vs Seattle's 24 pts, -2 GD) and score significantly more goals (1.67/game vs 1.18/game), but Seattle's home advantage at Lumen Field and the historically tight, low-scoring nature of this H2H (avg 2.07 goals) keep the match close. A narrow away win is most likely, though a low-scoring draw is a very strong secondary outcome.
Both sides enter on lengthy winless streaks with Seattle especially poor at home lately and RSL among the league's weakest travelers; low-scoring profiles and mutual caution with playoff spots at stake favor a tight draw as the modal outcome.
Seattle are on five consecutive draws and have not won at home in MLS since mid-May, while missing leading scorer Rothrock and other key attackers; RSL are a stronger side on paper but have been winless away since March and shipped three goals in their last outing, making a low-scoring draw the likeliest outcome between two teams in poor form with leaky defenses.
Seattle's home advantage at Lumen Field is offset by Real Salt Lake's superior standing and goal output, while Seattle's documented five-match draw streak signals a team that is hard to beat but struggling to win. A tight, low-scoring affair is the most likely outcome.
Seattle SoundersReal Salt Lake