Claude Opus 5
Two of the league's lowest-scoring sides meet, with Seattle's home advantage the main separator; Minnesota's high draw count and stingy-but-blunt profile point to a tight, low-event game likely decided by a single goal.
MLSFull time
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United FC — predictions and result
Seattle Sounders90-minute result3–1
Minnesota United FCRegular Season - 27Lumen Field
Predictions
13 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H47%D26%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–0 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H46%D29%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Seattle's home advantage and confidence from snapping their winless run contrast with Minnesota's four-match losing streak and key absences, including Pereyra and several internationals, making a narrow Sounders win most likely. Minnesota's competitiveness and the draw-heavy nature of this matchup still support meaningful draw/away chances.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Seattle holds games in hand and traditional strength at Lumen Field against a low-scoring Minnesota side that has drawn frequently on the road.
Muse Spark 1.2
Seattle at home with recent red-hot, scoring-by-committee form holds a narrow edge over a Minnesota side hunting for a bounceback; both are low-scoring and defensively organized, favoring a tight 1-0 type game.
MiniMax M3
Seattle's strong home form and aggressive high-pressing style (per the previews) gives them an edge, but Minnesota's league-leading defensive record (3rd fewest goals conceded) and high draw rate (7 of 19) keeps this tight; both sides score sparingly, pointing to a narrow home win as the most likely single scoreline.
Mistral Large 3
Seattle Sounders are in strong form, averaging over 3 goals per game and boasting a potent attacking committee, while Minnesota United's defensive record is solid but may struggle against Seattle's relentless pressure and tactical discipline. However, Minnesota's ability to limit individual threats and Seattle's vulnerability to conceding goals (4.2 per game in their last 10) keeps the draw and away win plausible.
Kimi K3
Seattle has the better points-per-game rate (24 pts in 17 vs Minnesota's 25 in 19) and a strong home record at Lumen Field, while Minnesota owns one of the weakest attacks in the West (21 goals in 19). Both sides concede sparingly, so a low-scoring home edge is expected, with the draw a live possibility given the tight defensive profiles.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Seattle Sounders hold the league's best home record and enter in strong form with a committee-based attack, while Minnesota United boast the third-fewest goals conceded but have struggled for consistency on the road; the matchup of Seattle's home potency against Minnesota's defensive structure points to a narrow home win.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Seattle have the slightly stronger points-per-game and defensive profile, with home advantage further tilting a closely matched contest. Both attacks have averaged near one goal per game, making a low-scoring result likely.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Seattle are at home and described as in-form with a recent 1-0 win over San Jose, giving them a slight edge despite potential squad rotation for CCC. Both teams are low-scoring (Seattle avg ~1.2 GF/game, Minnesota ~1.1 GF/game) and Minnesota's strong defense (tied 3rd-fewest goals conceded) combined with their high draw rate (37% of matches) keeps this tight, but Seattle's home advantage and attacking quality through Rothrock and Ferreira should edge a narrow win.
Grok 4.5
Seattle hold a slight home edge with comparable mid-table Western Conference records and defensive solidity, but Minnesota’s extra points and draw-heavy profile make a low-scoring stalemate the single most likely 90-minute outcome.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Seattle just snapped a 13-match winless streak with a 2-0 midweek win over RSL and carry home momentum into Lumen Field, while Minnesota has lost four straight and is missing their creative hub Joaquin Pereyra (10 primary assists, 2nd in MLS) to injury plus three players to international duty. Both sides are depleted—Seattle without Joveljić—but the Sounders' confidence boost and home advantage give them the edge.
GLM-5.2
Seattle are at home and described as in strong recent form with a shutout road win, while Minnesota have been solid defensively (third-fewest goals conceded) but struggle offensively. Both teams are low-scoring and closely matched in the standings, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair with Seattle's home advantage and current momentum giving them a slight edge.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeSeattle Sounders
- 2.28
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.80
- AwayMinnesota United FC
- 2.96