Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H29%D27%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H24%D27%A49% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Chicago are the stronger side with a far more productive attack (Cuypers/Zinckernagel) while Seattle have been badly misfiring in front of goal amid a long winless run, but a cross-country trip to Lumen Field and the Sounders' solid defensive base narrow the gap. A tight, low-scoring game is likely, with the draw a genuine live outcome.
Seattle's long injury list and eight-match MLS winless run make them vulnerable despite hosting, while Chicago arrive in strong Eastern Conference form with the more reliable attack. A low-scoring home draw is a live risk, but the Fire are the most likely winners.
Chicago Fire boast a potent attack led by top scorer Hugo Cuypers, while Seattle Sounders have struggled for goals and deal with several player absences, making a hard-fought draw at Lumen Field the most balanced outcome.
Seattle is in poor form with an eight-game winless run in MLS and seven confirmed absentees. Chicago Fire sits higher in the overall standings (4th East vs 11th West) and possesses a more potent attack led by H. Cuypers and P. Zinckernagel.
Chicago's top-4 East attack (32 goals, Cuypers 13g, Zinckernagel 5g/7a) faces a Seattle side on an 8-game winless MLS run, second-fewest goals scored (20 in 17) and with seven confirmed absentees, negating home advantage.
Chicago are the better side on form and standings, boasting a potent attack led by Cuypers (13 goals) and Zinckernagel (7 assists, 5 goals), while Seattle arrive on an 8-game MLS winless run, are missing 7 players, and have the league's worst attack (20 goals in 17). Seattle's home advantage and low-scoring profile keep this tight, but Chicago's quality tilts the favorite tag to the visitors, with 1-1 the most plausible single scoreline.
Chicago (4th East, 32 GF) arrive with a potent attack led by Cuypers (13 goals) and Zinckernagel, while Seattle are mired in an eight-game MLS winless run with a home losing streak, a league-worst-caliber attack (~20 GF), and seven confirmed absentees — enough to flip the usual home edge toward the Fire.
Chicago Fire's superior attack (32 goals, Cuypers 13 goals) and defensive record face a Seattle side with 7 absentees, the league's second-lowest scoring tally (20 goals), and an 8-game winless streak only recently snapped; Seattle's new signing Joveljic and home field provide partial offset.
Chicago’s stronger attack and superior goal difference give them the edge against a low-scoring Seattle side. Seattle’s reported seven absentees further weaken their home prospects, though home advantage keeps the draw significant.
Chicago Fire are the stronger side this season (4th in the East, +9 GD, 32 GF in 17 games) facing a Seattle side that has managed just 20 goals in 17 matches and has seven confirmed absentees. Despite home advantage, Seattle's chronic scoring struggles and depleted squad make an away win the most likely outcome, though a tight 2-1 victory for Chicago is expected.
Chicago sit far higher in the table with superior attack (Lewandowski/Zinckernagel) and recent form, while Seattle are ravaged by injuries (multiple key absentees plus a suspension) and have just one point from their last five league games; home venue and Fire midweek fatigue/rotation risk keep it from being a blowout, making a narrow away win the modal outcome.
Seattle are in crisis — an eight-game MLS losing streak and roughly 10 players missing through injury (Ferreira, Roldan, Morris, Yeimar, De La Vega, Ragen, etc.) gut their lineup, while Chicago have taken 10 points from their last four MLS outings with Cuypers (13 goals) and Zinckernagel driving a potent attack; a slight Leagues Cup fatigue factor and home-field advantage keep this from being a wider gap.
Seattle is in crisis with 10 confirmed absentees, a franchise-record losing streak just barely snapped, and the second-worst attack in MLS, while Chicago sit 2nd in the East with strong recent form and 37 goals scored. The Fire's superior quality and near-full squad should overcome Seattle's historical home advantage in this fixture.
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire