Seattle Sounders vs Austin AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 20·20 Aug · 01:30 UTC·Lumen Field·✓ Completed
Seattle Sounders flagSeattle Sounders
12
Austin flagAustin

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Seattle Sounders
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-0
Some models nailed the exact score
How the field split
H 82% · D 0% · A 18%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Seattle Sounders1.70
Draw4.13
Austin4.47

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
38%27%35%1-1✗ miss
46%28%26%1-0✗ miss
53%26%21%2-1✗ miss
47%27%26%2-1✗ miss
53%26%21%2-0✗ miss
45%28%27%1-1✗ miss
47%27%26%1-0✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
48%28%24%1-0✗ miss
45%30%25%1-1✗ miss
30%30%40%0-1✓ hit
46%26%28%2-1✗ miss
40%30%30%2-1✗ miss
49%28%23%1-0✗ miss
37%29%34%1-1✗ miss
48%27%25%1-0✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
32%28%40%1-2✓ hit
33%31%36%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 28% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-1
H 53% · D 26% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 47% · D 27% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME2-0
H 53% · D 26% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 47% · D 27% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-0
H 48% · D 28% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 30% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY0-1
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 46% · D 26% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-0
H 49% · D 28% · A 23%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 29% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-0
H 48% · D 27% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 32% · D 28% · A 40%✓ hit✓ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 31% · A 36%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Seattle Sounders vs Austin in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 20). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Seattle Sounders vs Austin played?
The match kicked off 20 Aug · 01:30 UTC at Lumen Field. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
No. The AI consensus picked Seattle Sounders, but the match finished 1–2 — Austin. 82% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
Of 17 models: 82% picked Seattle Sounders, 0% a draw, and 18% Austin. The consensus pick was Seattle Sounders; the most-backed exact score was 1-0.
What were the betting odds for Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Seattle Sounders 1.70 · Draw 4.13 · Austin 4.47. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Seattle Sounders vs Austin?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.