Seattle Sounders
Austin| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H53%D26%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H48%D28%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 0–1 | H30%D30%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H49%D28%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H33%D31%A36% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Seattle host at Lumen Field and, despite a losing streak, are stronger and better-placed than a struggling, injury-hit Austin side in coaching flux; home advantage tips a low-scoring game toward the Sounders, though both teams' final-third woes keep the draw live.
Seattle host on the back of a club-record seven-game MLS losing streak with a badly depleted attack (Ferreira injured, four shots at home vs Vancouver), so their usual Lumen Field edge is heavily discounted; Austin are also poor and low-scoring on the road but arrive with better recent rhythm from a strong Leagues Cup run, making a tight, low-scoring game with a real draw chance the sensible call.
Seattle's home advantage and clearly superior defensive record give them the edge, though their long losing streak and both sides' poor attacking form should keep this tight and low-scoring.
Despite Seattle's recent poor form, they hold a clear defensive advantage over an Austin side that concedes two goals per game on average. With home advantage and a stronger overall points-per-game record, the Sounders are well-positioned to edge a victory.
Seattle Sounders hold a superior overall record and goal differential compared to an Austin side that has struggled defensively all season, conceding 36 goals in 18 matches. Seattle's underlying quality gives them the edge to claim a narrow home victory.
Seattle Sounders boast superior defensive solidity compared to an Austin side that has conceded 36 goals in 18 matches. Playing at home, Seattle has a strong advantage to control the tempo and secure a low-scoring victory.
Seattle is in a severe slump with a reported seven-game losing streak, while Austin is struggling near the bottom of the conference. Given both teams' poor form and struggles in the final third, a low-scoring draw is a highly probable outcome.
Seattle at home still holds edge over an Austin side with 17pts and -14 GD conceding 2.0 per game, despite both in poor form (LLLWD vs LLLDW) and struggling in final third, so a narrow low-scoring home win is most likely.
Seattle has a clear quality and points advantage (24 vs 17) over struggling Austin, plus home advantage at Lumen Field, but both teams are in miserable form (Seattle LLLWD, Austin LLLDW) with poor attacking output (Seattle 1.18 GF/game, Austin 1.22 GF/game), so a tight low-scoring match is most likely with Seattle edging it.
Seattle Sounders are on a seven-game losing streak but remain higher in the standings and are playing at home, which slightly favors them. However, both teams are in poor form, particularly in attack, and Austin FC’s recent draw suggests they are capable of grinding out a result. A low-scoring draw is a realistic outcome.
Seattle is decimated by injuries to at least six regular starters and mired in a seven-match MLS losing streak, while Austin brings Leagues Cup momentum and the league’s save leader Brad Stuver, tilting the matchup toward a low-scoring away victory.
Seattle's season-long profile (near-even goal difference, only 22 conceded in 17) is markedly stronger than Austin's (36 conceded in 18, GD -14), and home advantage at Lumen Field gives them the edge to end their losing skid. However, both sides are in wretched form with blunt attacks, so a tight, low-confidence game with an elevated draw chance is expected.
Seattle's seven-game losing streak is alarming, but they face an Austin side with the West's worst defence (36 GA in 18 games) at home; both teams' low scoring rates and poor form point to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Seattle’s home advantage and much stronger defensive record give them the edge against an Austin side with 36 goals conceded. Both attacks have been inconsistent, so a tight, low-scoring match is likely.
Seattle are at home but on a seven-game losing streak and have the league's weakest attack (20 GF in 17 games), while Austin's defence is poor (36 GA in 18). Both sides struggle in the final third, making a low-scoring, tightly contested match the most likely outcome.
Seattle sit higher with a better goal difference and home advantage despite recent struggles, while Austin's poor away record and leaky defense make a low-scoring home win the most likely outcome; draw remains plausible given both sides' finishing issues.
Seattle are on a franchise-record 7-game MLS losing streak with a decimated squad missing Morris, Arriola, Ferreira, Yeimar, Petkovic, De la Vega, and Roldan (World Cup), and they just lost 3-1 to Austin a month ago. Austin's confidence from that win and Seattle's crisis of form and personnel gives the visitors a meaningful edge even at Lumen Field.
Seattle are on a dire seven-game losing streak despite a stronger overall season record, while Austin have been slightly better in recent form with a recent win. Both teams have struggled offensively (20 and 22 goals respectively), pointing to a low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible.
Seattle SoundersAustin