San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H51%D24%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H51%D25%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H56%D23%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H52%D22%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Jose are at home on a five-match unbeaten run with a strong attack (Judd/Arango) and have dominated Portland recently at PayPal Park, while the Timbers arrive leakier defensively and missing both first-choice centre-backs. Portland's attacking output keeps this from being one-sided, so goals at both ends are likely.
San Jose are five matches unbeaten and beat Portland in both 2025 home meetings, while Portland are missing both starting center-backs. That points to a home win, with 2-1 the most likely scoreline.
San Jose enter on a five-match unbeaten run and have been potent in attack, while Portland travel with defensive absences in their central defense.
San Jose sit 4th in the West on a five-match unbeaten run and host a Portland side missing both starting centre-backs, with San Jose's +11 goal difference and 2.0 goals per game outweighing Portland's even goal difference and lower table position.
San Jose (4th in West, 33 pts) hosts Portland (10th, 24 pts) riding a five-match unbeaten run and coming off strong wins over Houston and a 2-2 comeback draw vs LAFC, while Portland is missing both starting centerbacks (McGraw, Mosquera) and enters on 1W-1D-3L form, including a 3-1 loss to San Jose earlier this season. Portland can still score (33 goals) but defensive absences and recent slide tilt this clearly to the Quakes at PayPal Park.
San Jose Earthquakes enter the match on a five-match unbeaten run and are at home, where they have been strong this season, while Portland Timbers are missing key defenders and have struggled slightly more on the road. However, Portland's attacking prowess and historical H2H advantage keep the away win probability competitive, with the draw a likely outcome given both teams' recent form and defensive vulnerabilities.
San Jose (4th West, 33 pts, +11 GD) hosts a Portland side sitting 10th with a neutral goal difference and missing both starting center backs; the Quakes are on a five-match unbeaten run and beat Portland twice at PayPal Park in 2025 (4-1, 1-0). Portland still scores freely (33 in 18), so an away upset or draw remains live, but home form, momentum, and the defensive absences favor San Jose.
San Jose hosts Portland at PayPal Park where they've won both 2025 meetings, and Portland faces a severe defensive crisis missing both starting center-backs (Waterman suspended, McGraw injured) plus Mosquera. San Jose's Timo Werner is also out, but their home form and Portland's leaky backline favor a narrow home win with both teams scoring.
San Jose have shown the stronger overall balance and attack, while home advantage and Portland missing both starting center-backs further tilt the matchup toward the Earthquakes. Portland remain dangerous enough to score, making 2-1 the likeliest scoreline.
San Jose sits 4th in the West on a 5-match unbeaten run with a strong +11 goal difference, while Portland (10th) is missing both starting center backs, severely weakening their defense. San Jose's home advantage and superior season form make them clear favorites, though Portland's attacking threat via Ojeda keeps a goal or two likely for the visitors.
San Jose sit 4th in the West with a superior record, goal difference and five-match unbeaten run while hosting a mid-table Portland side missing both starting centre-backs; home edge and attacking output (Judd among league leaders) make a narrow Quakes win the most probable 90-minute outcome.
San Jose are 4th in the West on a 5-match unbeaten run and won the previous meeting 3-1, while Portland are missing both starting center backs (McGraw, Caicedo) plus three other players and sit in a precarious 9th-place playoff position after losing to last-place Atlanta. The Quakes' potent attack (2.0 goals/game) should exploit Portland's decimated defense at PayPal Park.
San Jose is at home, on a five-match unbeaten run, and faces a Portland side missing both starting center backs. The Quakes have already beaten Portland twice this season (4-1 and 1-0) and boast a stronger league position and goal difference, making them clear favorites.
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers