San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H35%D34%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H53%D25%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–0 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H58%D22%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H40%D36%A24% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Jose enjoy home advantage and sit higher in the West, but Minnesota have dominated this head-to-head recently (unbeaten in six meetings), while both sides have drawn several recent matches, making a tight, low-scoring game likely.
San Jose are a strong home side with one of the West's most productive attacks (38 goals), while Minnesota are low-scoring (21 in 19) but hard to beat, having drawn seven times. Expect the Quakes to edge a tight game, with a draw a very live alternative.
Both sides are stuck in poor MLS form — San Jose have lost four straight while Minnesota are winless in eight but draw-heavy (three of their last five). With the Quakes' attack drying up (four goals in five) and the Loons already winning 1-0 at PayPal Park recently, a low-scoring stalemate looks the most credible outcome.
San Jose boasts a potent attack, averaging two goals per game, and holds a strong home advantage against a Minnesota side struggling with consistency. Despite both teams looking to bounce back from recent poor results, the Earthquakes' superior offensive firepower should see them edge out the Loons.
San Jose Earthquakes boast one of the Western Conference's most explosive attacks with 38 goals scored and hold home advantage at PayPal Park. While Minnesota United's compact defense and high draw rate will make it a tight contest, San Jose's superior fire-power should see them prevail.
San Jose Earthquakes enter in strong form with one of the conference's most prolific attacks led by Preston Judd, giving them the decisive edge at home over a lower-scoring Minnesota United.
San Jose has a strong historical head-to-head record and higher league standing, but recent reports indicate a winless streak and a recent 0-1 loss to Minnesota. Minnesota's attacking form is improving, making a closely contested draw the most likely outcome.
San Jose has the stronger season profile (+11 GD vs -5, 38 GF vs 21 GF) and home advantage, but enters on a three-game winless slide including a 0-1 home loss to Minnesota and 1-1 vs NYRB, making this a near toss-up against a low-scoring Minnesota side that just won in San Jose.
San Jose are the stronger side at home (4th in West, 33 pts, 38 goals scored) with Judd (11 goals) leading the line, but their recent 3-game losing streak plus Minnesota's recent head-to-head success (including a 1-0 win in San Jose) keeps this from being a comfortable favorite; expecting a tight match where San Jose's home attacking edge prevails narrowly.
San Jose Earthquakes are in a recent slump but have dominated the head-to-head against Minnesota United FC, including a 100% win rate in their last five meetings. However, Minnesota's strong attacking form and San Jose's struggles to convert chances at home, combined with their recent draw against New York Red Bulls, suggest a tightly contested match with a slight edge to San Jose.
San Jose’s superior firepower (38 GF) and home advantage make them the likelier side against a Minnesota team that is winless in nine straight MLS matches and struggles to score (21 GF), though the Quakes’ recent defensive frailties keep a draw well in play.
San Jose's season-long profile is clearly stronger — 4th in the West with 38 goals scored — and home advantage counts against a Minnesota side that has managed only 21 goals in 19 games. However, the research notes indicate both teams arrive in poor recent form (San Jose on a winless slide, Minnesota off another loss) and Minnesota even won 1-0 at this venue in the Open Cup, so the draw and away upset retain real weight.
San Jose's potent attack (38 goals in 19 games, recent 4-goal performances) and home advantage outweigh Minnesota's solid defense but limited offense (21 goals in 19 games). Historical head-to-head strongly favors San Jose.
San Jose’s much stronger scoring output and positive goal difference give them the edge at home. Minnesota’s limited attack can keep this competitive, but the Earthquakes are likelier to create enough chances to win.
San Jose sits 4th in the West with a potent attack (38 goals in 19 games, ~2.0 per match) and strong home form, while Minnesota ranks 9th and struggles offensively (21 goals in 19). Despite reports of a recent losing streak, the Quakes' superior goal difference (+11 vs -5) and historical head-to-head dominance (5-0 in last five meetings) make them clear favorites at home, though Minnesota's solid defense (26 GA) keeps the margin tight.
San Jose hold a clear seasonal edge in attack and standing but enter on a five-match winless skid with heavy recent home concessions, while low-scoring Minnesota grind out draws and remain hard to break down; home quality still tips a narrow Quakes win as the modal outcome.
San Jose's superior attacking talent (38 GF vs 21) gives them an edge, but their dismal recent home form (0-4 and 1-3 losses) combined with Minnesota's extraordinary draw tendency (4 of last 5) makes a low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.
Both sides enter on 9+ game MLS winless streaks, but San Jose's home advantage and superior squad quality give them a slight edge; Minnesota's anemic attack (1 goal or fewer in 8+ straight) meets San Jose's leaky defense (2.6 goals conceded per game post-break), pointing toward a low-scoring stalemate.
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC