San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D26%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H35%D25%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D25%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Jose have been the better side over the season (33 pts, +11 GD) but are closing a three-game road trip, while San Diego's home advantage at Snapdragon and attacking output from Ingvartsen and Dreyer roughly levels the tie. Both teams defend loosely, so goals are likely and the H2H record is dead even.
San Diego have a three-game home winning streak at Snapdragon Stadium, while San Jose are winless in nine and finishing a three-match road swing; the Quakes' recent road draws and 3-0 H2H win earlier this season keep it close, but the home side is the likelier winner.
San Diego boasts a strong underlying goal difference and home advantage at Snapdragon Stadium, giving them a slight edge in an entertaining clash against a well-performing San Jose attack.
San Jose sit 9 points and +7 GD ahead of San Diego with the league's joint-4th best attack (38 GF) led by Judd, while San Diego rely on Ingvartsen at home; Snapdragon narrows the gap but San Jose's road form and balanced scoring edge make a narrow away win most likely with both teams to score.
San Jose Earthquakes have been clearly superior this season (33 pts, 38 GF, +11 GD vs San Diego's 24 pts, 33 GF, +4 GD) and boast a more balanced, multi-goalscorer attack (Judd11g, Werner/Munie/Bouda contributing). San Diego's home advantage and the derby context keeps this competitive, but San Jose's quality edge tilts the expected result toward an away win in a low-to-mid-scoring contest.
San Diego holds a slight edge in form and home advantage, but San Jose's attacking versatility and recent balanced goal distribution make them strong contenders. The head-to-head record is evenly split, and both teams have shown vulnerability in defense, increasing the likelihood of a competitive match with goals.
San Jose is the stronger side (4th in the West, +11 GD, balanced in-form attack with Judd on 11 goals), but they are closing out a three-game road trip, and San Diego's home advantage plus the Ingvartsen-Dreyer threat largely closes the gap. The H2H is evenly split 2-2 and tends to produce goals, so I expect a tight, moderately high-scoring match with a slight aggregate edge to the visitors, though 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.
San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in the West with a +11 GD and a balanced attack (multiple scorers and assisters), while San Diego are 12th with a +4 GD; H2H shows 2-2 splits with no draws and 2.25 goals/game, but San Jose's superior underlying numbers and road form make them slight favorites despite conceding early.
San Jose's stronger goal difference and prolific attack are offset by San Diego's home advantage and the visitors finishing a three-match road stretch. Both sides average well above 1.5 goals per game, but their relatively close overall profiles make a draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in the West with a +11 GD and a potent balanced attack (P. Judd with 11 goals), making them clear favorites despite playing away to close a three-game road trip. San Diego (12th, +4 GD) have home advantage and M. Ingvartsen's 11 goals, but their weaker overall record and San Jose's superior attacking depth (38 GF) point to a narrow away win, with the Quakes' tendency to concede early keeping the scoreline tight.
San Jose sit 4th in the West with a superior record, attack and defense versus mid-table San Diego; Quakes' balanced scoring threat and road form edge a competitive but winnable away fixture, while draws remain realistically common in MLS.
San Jose's superior overall quality (10W, +11 GD) gives them a slight edge despite being away, but San Diego's home advantage at Snapdragon and balanced attack led by Dreyer make this a tight California rivalry match. San Jose's tendency to concede early could allow San Diego to take the lead, but the Earthquakes' depth and consistency should see them rally for a narrow win.
San Jose sit 9 points clear with a superior goal difference and a potent, balanced attack led by Preston Judd, but San Diego's home advantage and their own respectable scoring record (33 GF) keep this competitive. The H2H is split 2-2 with no draws, suggesting an open, decisive game leaning toward the visitors' greater quality.
San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes