San Diego
Los Angeles Galaxy| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H47%D29%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H49%D26%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D32%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H51%D25%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Diego are the more dangerous attacking side (Dreyer/Lozano) and hold home advantage at Snapdragon, where their goal output is well above the Galaxy's, while LA have been inconsistent and draw-prone all season. A tight but decisive home win is most likely, with a real chance of another level result given both defenses leak goals.
San Diego's strong home run and perfect record against the Galaxy give them the edge, while LA's backup goalkeeper and poor road form point to an away struggle. Ingvartsen's absence and the Galaxy's draw-heavy recent record keep the draw probability honest.
San Diego boasts a potent attack led by Marcus Ingvartsen and Anders Dreyer, giving them the edge at home against an LA Galaxy side struggling for offensive consistency.
San Diego is in significantly better form and higher in the Western Conference standings (12th vs 13th, but with a positive GD of +4 compared to Galaxy's -6). San Diego also won the previous encounter 2-1 and possesses a more potent attack featuring top-tier contributors like Dreyer and Lozano.
San Diego at Snapdragon have superior attack (33 GF vs 24) and positive GD against Galaxy's -6, plus dominant head-to-head (4 wins in last 5 including 2-1 in May with Lozano/Dreyer). Galaxy remain low-scoring and inconsistent away, making home win narrowly most likely in a close game.
Both San Diego and LA Galaxy are mid-table Western Conference sides with notably draw-heavy records (6 and 7 draws respectively out of ~19-20 games), and their prior meeting this season was a narrow 2-1 San Diego win, suggesting a tight contest. San Diego's home advantage and stronger attack (Ingvartsen 11 goals, Dreyer 7 assists) gives them a slight edge, but LA Galaxy's 35% draw rate and decent defensive structure make a 1-1 stalemate the single most likely scoreline.
San Diego FC has demonstrated strong recent form against LA Galaxy, winning 4 of their last 5 meetings, including a dramatic late victory earlier this season. LA Galaxy's struggles (only 5 wins in 20 matches, poor defensive record, and desperation for points) further tilt the balance in San Diego's favor, despite the away side's historical pedigree.
San Diego holds a dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a 2-1 win in May 2025) and fields the more potent attack (33 goals vs Galaxy's 24) with Ingvartsen, Dreyer and Lozano in form. Playing at Snapdragon Stadium adds home edge, though both defenses leak roughly 1.5 goals per game, keeping the draw and a Galaxy upset live.
San Diego's superior goal difference (+4 vs -6), home advantage at Snapdragon Stadium, and 4-1 head-to-head dominance in the last five meetings outweigh LA Galaxy's poor away form and league-worst defense in the Western Conference.
San Diego have been more productive in attack and own a better goal difference, while home advantage further tilts a fairly competitive matchup their way. The Galaxy's scoring and defensive records suggest they can threaten but are unlikely to keep San Diego out.
San Diego holds a significant attacking edge (33 GF vs. 24 GF) and has dominated this head-to-head, winning four of the last five including an earlier victory this season. At home with Ingvartsen (11 goals) and Dreyer (7 assists) leading the line, San Diego should outscore a Galaxy side that has struggled to find the net consistently (1.2 goals/game).
San Diego sit slightly above Galaxy with a stronger attack (33 GF, Ingvartsen and Dreyer contributing) and better GD at home; Galaxy's leaky defense and lower scoring output make a narrow home win the most likely 90-minute outcome.
San Diego's four-match home winning streak and perfect all-time record against the Galaxy give them the edge, even without injured top scorer Ingvartsen, as LA's suspended goalkeeper and poor road form (winless in three) compound their struggles; the Galaxy's league-high draw rate keeps this closer than the H2H suggests.
San Diego holds a slight edge with a superior goal difference (+4 vs -6), more prolific attack (33 GF vs 24), and a dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in last 5 meetings including a 2-1 win earlier this season). LA Galaxy's defensive frailty and lower scoring output make a home win the most likely outcome, though the teams' proximity in the table keeps this competitive.
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy