San Diego
Houston Dynamo| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D26%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H27%D32%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H28%D37%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
San Diego have home advantage and a more productive attack, but are inconsistent defensively, while Houston are a strong road side whose scoring has dried up during a recent slide (multiple shutouts). Low-scoring, tight game is likely — Houston specialize in one-goal results — so a 1-1 draw is a very live outcome.
Houston are the stronger side and San Diego are winless in six while conceding 17 in their last five, but the Dynamo are also leaking goals and San Diego still carry home attacking threat through Dreyer and Ingvartsen, making a narrow away lean with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Houston sits atop the Western Conference but enters on a defensive wobble, while San Diego's potent attack led by Ingvartsen makes them formidable at home despite their lower table position.
Houston remain top of the West (35pts vs 24pts) despite a recent slide with four shutouts and a reshuffled backline conceding twice in three straight, while San Diego's home wide threat and Ingvartsen/Dreyer attack keep it tight - narrow away edge in a low-scoring game.
Houston sits atop the Western Conference with a clear quality edge (35pts vs 24pts) but both clubs are mired in 'recent slides' per the research notes—Houston has been shut out four times during their slump while San Diego is described as 'struggling,' neutralizing much of the gap. With both defenses conceding regularly (Houston 2 goals in 3 straight games, San Diego 29 GA in 19) but attacks also cooling, a low-scoring draw like1-1 captures the mutual fragility while still giving Houston the modest edge as the better side.
Houston leads the West but arrives in a genuine slump — shut out four times in eight games while also conceding twice in three straight — and must travel cross-country, while San Diego's +4 goal difference (identical to Houston's) and 33 goals scored suggest a side better than its 12th-place standing, especially at home. With both teams desperate to halt slides, a tight, low-margin contest with the draw very live is expected.
Houston leads the Western Conference but has been shut out four times during an eight-game slide; San Diego sits mid-table at home with former Dynamo players adding tactical familiarity. Houston's exceptional 68-36 record in one-goal games suggests they can edge a tight contest, but both sides' recent attacking struggles point to a low-scoring draw.
Houston have the stronger overall record and defense, but their recent attacking slide and San Diego’s home advantage narrow the gap. San Diego’s balanced scoring profile makes a close, low-margin match likely.
Houston tops the West and excels in one-goal games (68-36), but has been shut out four times in a recent offensive slump, while San Diego's solid home attack (33 goals on the season) and the return of Sam Vines against his former club make a tight, low-scoring affair the most likely script.
Houston lead the West with a stronger overall record and edge in quality, but both sides are in recent slides with leaky defenses and San Diego's home venue plus solid GD keep it tight; a low-scoring draw is the single most likely outcome given the mutual struggles.
Both sides are in dire form—San Diego have lost 4 of their last 5 including a 1-4 hammering at NYRB and a 0-5 home collapse vs Philadelphia, while Houston have won just once in 8 and been shut out four times in that span. The draw is the most likely outcome given neither side can be trusted to win, though Houston's greater overall quality keeps them in contention despite their alarming slide.
Houston sit atop the West but are in a pronounced slump — shut out four times recently and conceding twice in three straight — while San Diego, though lower in the table, have a solid home record and enough attacking quality (33 GF) to exploit Houston's leaky defense. Both sides are desperate to reverse form, but home advantage and Houston's slide tip this narrowly toward San Diego.
San DiegoHouston Dynamo