Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D27%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H24%D26%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H32%D25%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H36%D25%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H33%D26%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Vancouver have been the West's most balanced side with the conference's best goal difference and a miserly defence (roughly a goal conceded per game), while Real Salt Lake are a solid but unspectacular mid-table team whose main edge here is home altitude and venue. That narrows the gap enough to make a tight, low-scoring game with a real draw chance, with the Whitecaps marginal favourites on quality.
Vancouver lead the West and are clearly the stronger side, while short-handed RSL are winless in 11 MLS matches and missing Diego Luna; RSL's altitude home edge keeps it close, but a narrow away win is most likely.
Vancouver Whitecaps have been one of the Western Conference's best-performing sides with elite numbers at both ends, but Real Salt Lake's strong home advantage should keep this clash highly competitive.
Vancouver's league-best defensive record and superior goal difference make them slight favourites even away, but Real Salt Lake's home altitude advantage keeps it tight and low-scoring, likely decided by a single goal.
Vancouver has been the stronger side this season — 2nd in the West on 34 pts with a +21 GD and only 3 losses in 17 matches — while Real Salt Lake sits mid-table on 28 pts with a +4 GD. Home advantage keeps RSL competitive, but Vancouver's superior form and defensive record (17 GA vs 26 GA) make an away win the single most likely outcome, with a 1-2 scoreline reflecting Vancouver's tendency to win by narrow margins.
Vancouver has the stronger profile — the conference's best defense (17 GA in 17) and a +21 goal difference as reigning MLS Cup finalists — but RSL's home altitude edge and their new 3-5-2 keep this close, so the visitors are only slight favorites and 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.
Real Salt Lake are winless since mid-May (0-7-4) and missing star Diego Luna, while Vancouver Whitecaps sit top of the West with Brian White and Thomas Müller in prolific form; the quality gap favors the visitors despite the hostile altitude environment.
Vancouver’s substantially stronger goal difference and defensive record give them the overall edge, but Real Salt Lake’s home advantage makes a close contest likely. A draw is the most plausible individual scoreline despite Vancouver having the higher aggregate win probability.
Vancouver Whitecaps are the second-strongest team in the West with the league's best defense (17 GA in 17 games, +21 GD) and a potent attack (38 GF), making them clear favorites even on the road. Real Salt Lake's shift to a 3-5-2 system introduces tactical uncertainty at home, and their modest scoring output (30 GF in 18) is unlikely to overwhelm Vancouver's stingy back line, though home advantage keeps this competitive.
Vancouver sit 2nd in the West with elite defense (17 GA in 17) and strong attack, while RSL are mid-table; the Whitecaps' superior quality and form edge them slightly even on the road, though home advantage and MLS draw rates keep it competitive.
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 2nd in the West with a dominant +21 goal difference (2.24 GF/game, just 1.0 GA/game) and were MLS Cup finalists last season, while RSL are a solid but inferior 6th-place side with a +4 GD. RSL's home advantage and tactical shift to a back three keep them competitive, but Vancouver's superior attacking output and defensive solidity should see them edge this road fixture.
Vancouver's elite defensive record (17 GA in 17 games) and potent attack (38 GF) make them clear favourites despite traveling, while RSL's middling form and +4 GD at home keeps them in contention. The Whitecaps' quality gap should edge a tight, low-scoring affair.
Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps