Real Salt Lake
New York City FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H28%D36%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H41%D26%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D32%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two closely matched playoff-race sides, but Real Salt Lake's altitude and home venue tilt it their way despite a recent winless stretch; NYCFC travel well defensively (24 GA) so a tight, low-margin game is likely with a real chance of a draw.
RSL are winless in nearly four months despite home advantage, while NYCFC have been solid on the road; both sides carry comparable underlying numbers and a tight, low-scoring stalemate is the most likely outcome.
Real Salt Lake hold a strong home advantage at altitude in Sandy, giving them a slight edge over an evenly matched New York City FC side led in attack by Nicolás Fernández Mercau.
Real Salt Lake have a clear home advantage at altitude and a 4-2 H2H edge over NYCFC, with both sides on similar mid-table form and ~1.6 goals scored per game; a tight, low-margin home win is marginally more likely than an away steal or draw on the cross-country trip.
RSL are on a four-month MLS winless skid and just lost 2-1 at Houston in midweek, undermining home advantage, but Pablo Mastroeni's side specializes in grinding out tight matches at America First Field. NYCFC are a balanced, in-form attack led by Fernández Mercau but travel inconsistently; a low-scoring draw feels the most likely single outcome, with NYCFC narrowly favored to edge it on current form.
Real Salt Lake are struggling for form and consistency, with a recent last-minute loss and a long winless streak, while New York City FC are disciplined on the road but lack a clinical edge. Both teams prioritize grinding out results, and their recent head-to-head history suggests a tightly contested match with a slight edge to Salt Lake at home.
Real Salt Lake get the nod at home in the altitude of Sandy, where they hold a dominant 4-2-0 head-to-head record over NYCFC, despite a miserable recent run including a midweek loss at Houston. The sides are nearly level on points (RSL 28, NYCFC 26) and both score freely, so a tight, high-event game with a live draw chance is expected.
Real Salt Lake have collapsed after a hot start, winless in roughly four months despite a dominant 4-2-0 historical H2H edge; NYCFC have lost only four times all season and are the more consistent side, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Real Salt Lake's home advantage gives them a slight edge, but NYCFC have the stronger defensive record and comparable overall results. RSL's reported recent skid increases the likelihood of a tight draw.
Real Salt Lake hold home advantage in Sandy but are in poor recent form, having lost 2-1 to Houston in midweek and enduring a prolonged winless skid. NYCFC boast the better defensive record (24 GA in 18) and top scorer Fernández Mercau (13 goals), making this an even contest where a low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome.
Both sides sit level on 29 points and enter on lengthy winless runs, with RSL especially poor since May yet still formidable at altitude-heavy America First Field; NYCFC's solid GD and attack are blunted by travel and short rest, pointing to a tight, low-event stalemate as the modal outcome.
RSL's 10-2-3 home record in 2026 remains formidable despite their extended MLS winless streak being almost entirely road-driven, and NYCFC's cross-country travel on short rest to Utah altitude — where they rank 26th in MLS in points per match on three days' rest — tilts this toward the hosts, though their recent defensive collapses (conceding late goals to Orlando, FC Dallas, and Houston) keep an upset or draw very much in play.
Both sides enter in poor form — RSL on a 10-game winless run and NYCFC winless since late July — but RSL's strong home record (10-2-3 at America First Field) gives them a slight edge despite their confidence being low. With both teams missing key players and struggling to score consistently, a tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome.
Real Salt LakeNew York City FC