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Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas — predictions and result

Real Salt Lake
90-minute result3–4
FC Dallas
Regular Season - 20America First Field

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–1
H41%D27%A32%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H44%D26%A30%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H45%D27%A28%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–1
H44%D27%A29%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle1–1
H42%D28%A30%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H42%D26%A32%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–1
H34%D29%A37%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H47%D25%A28%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H44%D26%A30%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H40%D28%A32%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H43%D25%A32%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Both sides are evenly matched in the standings (28 vs 27 pts) and similar goal differentials, but RSL's home advantage tips it slightly their way, while Dallas' Petar Musa and away form keep this close.

Claude Opus 5

Two evenly matched playoff-race sides, but Real Salt Lake's altitude home advantage at America First Field tilts this their way, and Dallas are a bit more effective at home than on the road. Both attacks (Arango/Luna vs Musa) are productive, so a tight 2-1 home win with a real chance of a draw.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Real Salt Lake's home/altitude edge and Dallas likely missing goalkeeper Maarten Paes point toward a narrow RSL advantage, but FC Dallas's solid goal difference and Petar Musa's threat keep the match very tight, making a draw a strong possibility.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Separated by just a single point in the Western Conference, these two sides are very evenly matched. Real Salt Lake benefits from home advantage, but FC Dallas has a slightly better goal difference and the league's joint-top scorer in Petar Musa, pointing toward a competitive draw.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Real Salt Lake's home advantage at altitude in Sandy gives them the edge against a closely matched FC Dallas side separated by just one point in the Western Conference. Although joint-top MLS scorer Petar Musa makes Dallas dangerous on the counter, RSL's defensive solidity at America First Field should propel them to a narrow victory.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Real Salt Lake hold a crucial home advantage at altitude in a tightly contested mid-table clash between two sides separated by just one point. While FC Dallas remain dangerous on the break through in-form Petar Musa, RSL's attacking depth should see them edge a close encounter.

Gemma 4 31B

Both teams are closely matched in the Western Conference standings with similar goal differentials. RSL has a slight edge at home, but Dallas possesses a potent threat in Petar Musa and a historical advantage in head-to-head matchups.

Muse Spark 1.2

Teams separated by one point (RSL 28pts/18gp vs Dallas 27pts/18gp) with similar scoring rates, but RSL at home gets the edge while Dallas is without starter Maarten Paes (backup Michael Collodi) and relies on counter-attacking away form led by top scorer Petar Musa.

MiniMax M3

RSL holds a narrow one-point edge and home advantage, but Dallas is one of the most dangerous counterattacking sides in the West with Golden-Golden-chasing Petar Musa (13 goals) leading the line, making the visitors a credible away threat. The teams are evenly matched on points, goals, and goal difference, supporting a tight, low-scoring game where a 1-1 stalemate is the single most plausible 90-minute outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are closely matched in form and standings, with Real Salt Lake slightly favored due to home advantage and FC Dallas's recent tactical shift toward a counterattacking style, which may limit their attacking dominance. The draw is a significant possibility given their recent tactical approaches and the tight historical head-to-head record.

Kimi K2.6

FC Dallas’s direct counterattacking approach is a strong tactical fit against a possession-based Real Salt Lake team that has gone winless in its last five MLS matches and is missing key center-back Justen Glad, while Dallas’s own absences at the back and a quick turnaround limit the visitors’ advantage in what should be a tightly contested affair.

Kimi K3

Two nearly inseparable Western Conference sides (RSL 28 pts, Dallas 27 pts in 18 games, near-identical goal differences), but RSL's home edge at altitude plus a strong attacking core (Luna, Arango, Gonçalves) tips it; Dallas counterattacks well on the road through Musa but may be without first-choice keeper Paes, while their league-high draw rate keeps a stalemate very live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

RSL's formidable home record (10-1-2) and all-time home edge vs Dallas (13-10-5) are offset by their five-game MLS winless streak, key defensive absences (Glad, Eneli), and a congested schedule including a Leagues Cup quarterfinal on Tuesday. Dallas arrives on short rest after a Sunday win in Austin, missing two starting defenders (Norris, Urhoghide), but carries counterattacking threat through Musa and a system suited to exploiting RSL's high wide players. Both sides are fatigued, pointing to a tight, low-margin game.

GPT-5.6 Sol

The teams have nearly identical records, but Real Salt Lake's home advantage gives them a modest edge. Dallas carry a serious threat through 13-goal Petar Musa, so a competitive match with both teams scoring is likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas are separated by just one point in the Western Conference with near-identical goal differences (+4 vs +7), making this an extremely tight matchup. RSL's home advantage gives them a slight edge, but Dallas's counterattacking style under Eric Quill makes them a dangerous road side, and their league-high draw tendency (6 in 18) keeps the stalemate probability elevated.

Grok 4.5

RSL's elite 2026 home record (10-1-2, +20 GD) and recent defensive solidity outweigh their five-game MLS winless streak, while Dallas arrives with a suspended CB, fixture congestion, and altitude disadvantage despite Musa's form and solid road results.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

RSL's dominant home record (10-1-2, outscoring visitors 31-11) and Dallas's grueling road-trip fatigue—playing their 5th match in 14 days across multiple time zones at altitude—tilt this toward the hosts, though Musa's 14-goal form keeps Dallas dangerous on the counter.

GLM-5.2

These teams are separated by just one point and both sit mid-table in the West with similar defensive records. RSL's home advantage is offset by Dallas's counterattacking style under Eric Quill and the lethal scoring of Petar Musa (13 goals), making a tight, closely contested match the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeReal Salt Lake
1.91
DrawLevel at 90′
3.62
AwayFC Dallas
3.98