Portland Timbers
San Diego| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H39%D26%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H44%D25%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D26%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Portland enjoys home advantage at Providence Park where they've scored in five of their last six home league matches, while San Diego has been leaking goals during a poor run; both sides carry similar attacking threat so a competitive, goal-involved home win is most likely.
Two evenly matched mid-table Western Conference sides on equal points, but Providence Park is a genuine edge and Portland have scored in five of their last six home league games. San Diego's leaky defense and recent winless run tilt this slightly toward the hosts in a likely open, high-tempo game.
Portland's home edge, their 2-1 away win in this season's matchup, and San Diego's suspension of creator Anders Dreyer tilt a tight Western Conference game toward the Timbers, though San Diego's recent defensive solidity keeps a draw or away result live.
Both teams are tied on 24 points, but Portland has struggled recently with just one win in their last ten matches. San Diego arrives with momentum after shutting out LAFC, making a closely fought draw a highly probable outcome.
Portland Timbers hold a distinct home advantage at Providence Park, where they consistently create scoring opportunities against conference rivals. While San Diego features dynamic attacking talent in Marcus Ingvartsen, their recent defensive vulnerabilities on the road favor a narrow home victory.
Level on 24 points in the Western Conference standings, Portland Timbers hold the crucial home advantage at Providence Park to narrowly edge an offensively capable San Diego side.
Portland has strong home scoring form at Providence Park, but San Diego enters this match with momentum after a shutout win against LAFC and possesses a dangerous striker in Marcus Ingvartsen. Given Portland's poor recent overall form and San Diego's ability to secure results against them previously, a tight contest likely ending in a draw is the most probable outcome.
Providence Park factor and Portland scoring in 5 of last 6 home games offsets San Diego's recent 1-0 over LAFC and 2-0 H2H edge in the last 10; both mid-table on 24pts with leaky defences points to a narrow high-scoring home win.
Even mid-table matchup with Portland holding home advantage and having scored in 5 of last 6 home league games, but San Diego arrives with momentum from a 1-0 shutout of LAFC and has beaten Portland twice in recent meetings, while Portland's overall form is poor (one win in last 10). The balance of slight home edge, comparable goal-scoring output (33 each), and San Diego's recent H2H dominance points to a tight draw as the modal outcome.
Portland Timbers show recent home form with goals in five of their last six league matches at Providence Park, but San Diego FC's defensive resilience (recent shutout vs LAFC) and Portland's inconsistent run (one win in last 10) suggest a tightly contested draw. Both teams prioritize possession and tactical discipline, increasing the likelihood of a stalemate.
Portland has claimed just one win in its last ten games and faces a San Diego side with a better goals-against record and a recent shutout of LAFC, but the Timbers' knack for scoring at Providence Park points to a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely exact outcome.
Two evenly matched Western Conference sides level on 24 points, so Providence Park home advantage is the main separator — Portland have scored freely at home (33 goals in 18 games) while San Diego's slightly better defensive record (GD +4) and Ingvartsen's 11-goal season, plus a favorable recent head-to-head, keep the visitors live. Portland's games are high-scoring (3.67 total goals per game), so a narrow, open home win is the most likely outcome with the draw a genuine threat.
Portland's strong home scoring form (goals in 5 of last 6 at Providence Park) and San Diego's inconsistent away record despite a recent shutout win over LAFC favor the hosts, though both teams' similar underlying metrics keep the draw very live.
Portland's home advantage is offset by San Diego's slightly stronger defensive record and positive goal difference. Both sides score at similar rates, making a competitive draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Portland's dire form (one win in their last 10) is offset by home advantage at Providence Park where they've scored in five of six, while San Diego's solid defense (29 GA) and momentum from a 1-0 win over LAFC make them dangerous visitors. Both teams sit level on 24 points with similar attacking output, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair.
Portland hold a clear home edge at Providence Park with strong recent scoring form there, while San Diego travel without suspended creator Anders Dreyer after a mixed away record; the reverse fixture already went 2-1 to the Timbers and both sides average over 1.7 goals scored.
San Diego's superior road form and current 3-match MLS unbeaten run, combined with Portland's shaky MLS record (LWDLL in last 5), give the visitors a slight edge despite Providence Park's home advantage. Both teams are desperate for points at 24 apiece, but San Diego's attacking duo of Dreyer and Ingvartsen should find enough against Portland's inconsistent defense.
Portland hold a home-field edge at Providence Park where they've scored in five of their last six, but San Diego have already beaten them twice in recent meetings and boast a tighter defense (29 GA vs 33). The sides are level on points, suggesting a closely contested match with Portland's home form giving them a slight edge.
Portland TimbersSan Diego