Portland Timbers
Atlanta United FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H57%D22%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H54%D24%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H54%D24%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H57%D24%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H55%D22%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Portland are a strong home side with a potent attack (33 goals) while Atlanta are the East's bottom club, low-scoring (21 goals) and poor on the road with a long cross-country trip to Providence Park; the Timbers' leaky defense keeps Atlanta's upset chances non-trivial.
Portland are at home and face an Atlanta United side sitting bottom of the Eastern Conference with the league's worst points total, while Portland's stronger overall record makes them narrow favourites. Atlanta's struggles should keep it competitive, but the Timbers' home edge points to a close win.
Portland's potent attack should capitalize at Providence Park against an Atlanta United side struggling at the foot of the Eastern Conference with 12 defeats.
Portland at home has a clear edge over an Atlanta side bottom of the East with the league's weakest attack and a -13 goal difference, while Portland's balanced scoring gives them the advantage in a game likely to see goals at both ends.
Portland sit mid-table in the West with 24 pts and a potent attack (33 GF), while Atlanta are dead last in MLS with just 15 pts, a -13 GD, and 12 losses in 19 games. Home advantage plus the large quality gap makes Portland clear favorites, though Atlanta's desperation and Portland's leaky defense (33 GA) keep the match competitive. 2-1 reflects Portland's scoring edge against a vulnerable Atlanta back line that still has enough to grab a consolation.
Portland (7-3-8, even goal difference) sits mid-table in the West while Atlanta is bottom of the East with just 4 wins in 19 and a league-worst 21 goals scored; home advantage plus Atlanta's anemic attack and porous defense make the Timbers clear favorites, though MLS's high draw rate keeps a stalemate live.
Portland Timbers hold a clear edge in underlying numbers (24 pts, 0 GD vs Atlanta's 15 pts, -13 GD) and host at Providence Park where they've scored 33 goals in 18 games; Atlanta's road form is poor with only 4 wins all season, but MLS parity and Atlanta's occasional resilience keep the draw probability honest.
Portland have shown much greater attacking output and overall competitiveness, while Atlanta have lost 12 of 19 matches with only 21 goals scored. Home advantage and Atlanta's long trip further favor the Timbers, though Portland's leaky defense leaves room for an away goal.
Portland (24 pts, GD 0) hosts dead-last Atlanta (15 pts, GD -13, worst attack in the East at 1.11 goals/game) at Providence Park, giving the Timbers a clear edge in quality and home advantage. Portland's balanced attack (~1.83 goals/game) should exploit Atlanta's leaky defense, though Portland's own tendency to concede (~1.83/game) keeps a clean sheet unlikely, making a narrow 2-1 home win the most probable scoreline.
Portland sit mid-table in the West with a balanced GD and potent home attack that regularly produces multi-goal games, while bottom-of-the-East Atlanta have scored poorly all season and arrive in mixed but low-output form. Home advantage and Portland's higher ceiling make a narrow Timbers win the most likely result despite both sides' leaky defenses.
Portland are significantly stronger at home (7W-3D-8L, 33 GF) against an Atlanta side rooted to the bottom of the East with just 4 wins all season and a -13 goal difference. The Timbers' attacking depth should prove the difference despite Atlanta occasionally scraping results.
Portland sit mid-table in the West with a solid attacking output (33 GF in 18 games) and host an Atlanta side rooted to the bottom of the East with just 15 points, 12 losses, and a league-worst -13 GD. Atlanta's porous defense and poor away form make Portland the clear favorites, though Atlanta's occasional goal-scoring ability keeps this from being a blowout.
Portland TimbersAtlanta United FC