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Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake — predictions and result

Philadelphia Union
90-minute result2–1
Real Salt Lake
Regular Season - 28Talen Energy Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H34%D27%A39%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H56%D24%A20%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D28%A17%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H34%D27%A39%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H55%D26%A19%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H61%D23%A16%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–1
H55%D24%A21%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H52%D24%A24%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

The structured table shows a struggling Philadelphia side (4 wins in 18, negative goal difference) hosting a solidly mid-table Real Salt Lake with a better record and goal output, so the visitors edge it on quality despite the Union's home advantage and RSL's cross-country travel. The gap is modest enough that a low-scoring draw is a very live outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Philadelphia Union are on a 12-match MLS unbeaten run and chasing a seventh straight win at Subaru Park, with three consecutive clean sheets; Real Salt Lake arrive after a 3-0 win over New England but face a much tougher road test.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Philadelphia enter this cross-conference clash in peak form, carrying a 12-match unbeaten streak and six straight MLS victories. With home advantage at Subaru Park and a resolute defense, the Union are well-positioned to take all three points against a traveling Real Salt Lake side.

Muse Spark 1.2

Philadelphia's 12-match unbeaten run with six straight wins and three consecutive clean sheets at Subaru Park outweighs RSL's one-off 3-0 win over New England, making the Union clear home favourites.

MiniMax M3

Philadelphia are riding a 12-match unbeaten run with 6 straight MLS wins heading into this match, supported by 3 consecutive clean sheets and a solid6-3-4 home record. Real Salt Lake travel on the back of an impressive 3-0 shutout of New England, so they carry enough threat to grab a goal, but Philadelphia's home form and momentum make them clear favorites.

Mistral Large 3

Philadelphia Union's strong home form (6-3-4), a 12-match MLS unbeaten streak, and three consecutive clean sheets highlight their defensive solidity and momentum. Real Salt Lake, while improved, are still vulnerable on the road and coming off a rare shutout win, making them less likely to secure an away result.

Kimi K3

Season-long data favors Real Salt Lake (28 pts, +4 GD) over a struggling Philadelphia side (16 pts, -8 GD), but MLS home advantage and RSL's long cross-country trip to Chester keep the match close to even, making a low-scoring draw or narrow away result most likely.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Philadelphia Union are on a 12-match MLS unbeaten run with six straight wins, boast a 6-3-4 home record, and have kept three consecutive clean sheets; Real Salt Lake arrive after a 3-0 win over New England but are winless in 12 all-time visits to Subaru Park.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Philadelphia's reported 12-match unbeaten run, six straight league wins, and three consecutive clean sheets make them strong home favorites. Real Salt Lake arrive after a 3-0 win, but the Union's current momentum and home advantage should prevail.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Philadelphia Union are in exceptional form with a 12-match unbeaten run (including 6-7 consecutive wins) and three straight clean sheets, giving them massive momentum at home where they are 6-3-4. They also hold a 12+ match unbeaten H2H record against Real Salt Lake, who, despite a recent 3-0 win over New England, are a mid-table West side facing a Union defense that has dramatically tightened up.

Grok 4.5

Union ride a club-record 12-match unbeaten run (six straight wins) with surging attack and recent clean sheets at home, while injury-hit RSL own a dismal 1-9-3 away mark and only just snapped a 13-game winless skid.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Philadelphia are in franchise-best form (6 straight wins, 12 unbeaten, 20 goals in September) with key internationals returning, while RSL are decimated by injuries and a summer-long slump despite a fluky 3-0 win last time out.

GLM-5.2

Philadelphia Union are on a stunning 12-match unbeaten run with six consecutive wins and three straight clean sheets at home, while RSL — despite a solid Western Conference standing and a recent 3-0 win — are described as struggling and face a Union side in peak form at Subaru Park.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomePhiladelphia Union
1.36
DrawLevel at 90′
5.72
AwayReal Salt Lake
7.67