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Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC — predictions and result

Philadelphia Union
90-minute result4–2
Orlando City SC
Regular Season - 27Talen Energy Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H42%D25%A33%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H44%D26%A30%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H42%D28%A30%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–2
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H46%D25%A29%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H38%D30%A32%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H45%D25%A30%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H38%D27%A35%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi3–1
H46%D23%A31%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H56%D23%A21%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Philadelphia are the form team in MLS (11 unbeaten, five straight wins) and are at Subaru Park, but they lose five regulars to international duty including goalkeeper Andre Blake and the Sullivan-led homegrown core, which narrows the gap against a Griezmann-boosted Orlando side that has also surged since the World Cup break. Both defenses have been leaky in this fixture (4-3 in the May meeting), so an open, high-scoring game with a narrow home edge looks most likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Philadelphia's home advantage and recent attacking form outweigh Orlando's higher table position, though both sides leak goals and last meeting was a 4-3 shootout, so an open, goal-heavy game is likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Orlando City's league-worst defense has conceded 48 goals this season, giving Philadelphia Union a strong opportunity at home to edge out a high-scoring encounter.

Muse Spark 1.2

Philadelphia brings a win streak and recent attacking explosiveness at home against an Orlando side conceding 2.5 goals per game and missing regular defenders, while the 4-3 reverse fixture and Orlando's BTTS trend point to both teams scoring in a narrow home win.

MiniMax M3

Philadelphia has home advantage and enters on a reported win streak, while Orlando's league-worst-caliber defense (48 GA) continues to leak chances, tilting the balance toward the Union despite both sides' poor overall records — but draws are common between two inconsistent mid-table sides, and recent head-to-heads have been open, high-scoring affairs (4-3, 4-2), keeping the away win and draw probabilities honest.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense and a tendency to concede goals, particularly in their last meeting (4-3). Philadelphia's attack has been explosive but inconsistent without key players, while Orlando's defense is missing regular contributors, making a high-scoring draw the most likely outcome.

Kimi K3

Both meetings this season were goal-fests (Philadelphia 4-2 in February, Orlando 4-3 in May), and Orlando arrive with the East's leakiest defense (48 conceded in 19) while missing several regular defenders. Philadelphia, riding a win streak and playing at home, get the edge despite missing USMNT call-ups, though Orlando's attack (31 GF, BTTS in 7 of last 9) keeps an away result or high-scoring draw very live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Philadelphia Union enter on a win streak with improved attacking momentum at home, while Orlando City SC have conceded 48 goals in 19 games and are missing defensive regulars; their last two meetings produced 4-2 and 4-3 scorelines, supporting a high-scoring home win.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Philadelphia’s home advantage and recent attacking resurgence give them a narrow edge against an Orlando defense conceding heavily. Both teams carry scoring threats, so a competitive match with goals at both ends is likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Philadelphia enters on a recent win streak with home advantage, while Orlando's league-worst defense (48 GA in 19 games) remains a major vulnerability. However, both sides are missing key contributors (USMNT call-ups for Philly, regulars for Orlando), and their previous two meetings produced 7 and 6 goals respectively, suggesting another open, high-scoring affair where the home side's attacking momentum gives them a narrow edge.

Grok 4.5

Philadelphia enters on an 11-game unbeaten run (9 wins) with explosive recent attack at home, outweighing absences of several USMNT players; Orlando has improved but is missing Griezmann and multiple internationals while carrying a leaky defense prone to both teams scoring.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Philadelphia are on a club-record 11-match unbeaten run (9W-0L-2D) with five straight wins, transforming since the World Cup break under interim coach Richter, while Orlando's defense has conceded 48 goals in 19 matches and the Lions are coming off consecutive losses (Open Cup semifinal midweek and a 4-2 collapse at New England), though Griezmann's expected return provides an attacking boost for the visitors.

GLM-5.2

Philadelphia is on a club-record 11-game unbeaten run with five straight wins and hosts an Orlando side missing five regulars to international duty. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently, but Philly's attacking momentum and home advantage should edge a defensively vulnerable Orlando.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomePhiladelphia Union
1.46
DrawLevel at 90′
5.30
AwayOrlando City SC
5.81