Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H46%D26%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H34%D25%A41% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H49%D26%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H31%D26%A43% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Philadelphia have turned their season around with four wins in their last five and can clinch a playoff berth at home, where they historically dominate this matchup; New England are still playing for seeding and carry an attacking threat through Langoni and Gil, so goals at both ends are likely.
Philadelphia are unbeaten in 15 and have home advantage plus playoff-clinching motivation, while New England are missing several key contributors; the Revs' strong road form keeps it close, but Subaru Park has historically been a difficult trip for them.
Philadelphia Union enter this crucial clash in excellent late-season form with four wins in their last five league matches, playing at home with a direct playoff berth on the line. While New England boast a strong campaign, Philadelphia's home momentum and strong historical record in this matchup give them the edge.
Ground-truth standings have New England 3rd in the East (30pts, +4 GD) well ahead of Philadelphia 14th (16pts, -8 GD), outweighing Philadelphia's home advantage, historical H2H edge (27-11) and recent 4-wins-in-5 surge, with New England having won the reverse fixture 2-1.
Philadelphia arrive in their best form of the decade (13-10-7, 6th in the East, a club-record 15-game unbeaten run since the World Cup break with 15 goals in their last five), are strong at Subaru Park (7-3-5) and must win to clinch a playoff berth, while the Revs are missing Harrison and Yusuf and, despite Matt Turner and a 5-3-1 away record since July, travel to the hottest home side in the conference; the edge is marginal but Philadelphia's home attacking form (Iloski, Damiani) tips it to a narrow 2-1 win.
Philadelphia are on a strong late-season run (four wins in five), are at home with a playoff-clinching incentive, and own a dominant historical head-to-head record against New England. The Revs sit higher in the East and beat the Union earlier this season, so this should be competitive with goals at both ends, but home form and motivation edge it for Philly.
Philadelphia Union's strong recent form (4 wins in last 5), home advantage, and playoff-clinching motivation outweigh New England Revolution's higher table position; historical H2H also heavily favors Philadelphia (27-11-9).
New England have shown substantially stronger season-long performance and better defensive numbers, giving them the edge. Philadelphia's home advantage and reported improvement in form keep the draw and home-win chances meaningful.
Philadelphia enter with strong recent form (4 wins in last 5) and massive motivation as a win clinches their playoff berth, while their historical H2H dominance (27-11-9) adds a psychological edge at home. New England are the better side on season-long metrics (3rd in the East, +4 GD) and won the reverse fixture, keeping this competitive, but the Union's momentum and home advantage give them a narrow edge in a match likely to see goals at both ends.
Philadelphia's strong recent home form and playoff-clinching incentive give them the edge over a solid but less consistent New England side, despite the visitors' higher overall standing; historical H2H heavily favors the Union at home, with a narrow multi-goal win the most likely decisive outcome.
Philadelphia's strong recent run (four wins in five) and home advantage with a playoff berth on the line offset New England's superior season-long numbers (3rd in the East, +4 GD vs Philly's -8), making this a tight contest with a slight edge to the Union. Both defenses have leaked goals and both attacks are productive, pointing to a narrow home win with goals at both ends rather than a clean sheet.
Philadelphia's club-record 15-game unbeaten streak under Ryan Richter (39 of 45 points), home advantage at Subaru Park, and playoff-clinching motivation give them the edge, though New England's third-place standing and strong defense (2nd-fewest goals conceded in the East) keep this competitive.
Philadelphia UnionNew England Revolution