Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H33%D26%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H34%D26%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H31%D24%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H30%D25%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H26%D27%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Cincinnati are the stronger side on points and carry far more attacking threat (46 goals, Denkey and Evander), while Philadelphia have been one of the East's weakest teams with a negative goal difference and limited scoring. Cincinnati's porous defense (45 conceded) and a bounce-back from a heavy loss keep this open, so a high-scoring or drawn game is very plausible.
Philadelphia's strong recent form and home advantage outweigh Cincinnati's higher table position, with the Union likely to exploit Cincinnati's leaky defense. Cincinnati should score, but a home win is the most likely result.
FC Cincinnati boast one of the league's most potent attacks led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, giving them the edge over a struggling Philadelphia Union side that has managed just four wins in 18 matches.
Cincinnati's stronger overall record and league-leading attack outweigh Philadelphia's home advantage, while Union's bottom-half position and leaky defence point to an away edge in a high-event game.
FC Cincinnati sit 6th in the East with 27 points and boast the league's most prolific attack (46 GF, led by Denkey with 11 goals and Evander with 8 assists), while Philadelphia is in freefall at 14th with a 4-4-10 record, -8 GD, and just 16 points in 18 games. Even with home advantage, Philadelphia's dismal form and Cincinnati's superiority on both ends of the pitch make the visitors favorites, though Cincinnati's recent slump (two wins in six, five-game home winless streak per research) and Philadelphia's home resilience keep this competitive — Cincinnati's leaky defense (45 GA) suggests Philadelphia can find the net.
Philadelphia Union are strong at home but have struggled with consistency, while FC Cincinnati's recent form and winless streak at home raise concerns. Both teams are defensively solid, and the match is likely to be tightly contested, with a draw a realistic outcome given their recent trends and the stakes involved.
Cincinnati are clearly the stronger side on the season (27 pts, +1 GD vs Philadelphia's 16 pts, -8 GD) and arrive well-rested after their weekend postponement, though the 4-0 loss at Nashville and their league-worst defensive record among contenders (45 conceded) keep this from being comfortable. Philadelphia have won just four times all season but MLS home advantage at Subaru Park and Cincinnati's chaotic, high-variance matches make the Union live underdogs with a narrow away win the likeliest single result.
FC Cincinnati sit 11 points above Philadelphia in the Eastern Conference with a superior goal difference and attack (46 goals vs 25), but have won only twice in their last six and lost 4-0 to Nashville last time out. Philadelphia are winless in five at home per the preview notes, yet the Union's home advantage and Cincinnati's defensive frailty (45 conceded) keep the draw probability high.
Cincinnati’s prolific attack gives them the edge against a Philadelphia side with 10 losses in 18 matches. Their defensive vulnerability and Philadelphia’s home advantage keep the draw and home-win chances substantial.
FC Cincinnati sit 11 points clear of Philadelphia in the Eastern Conference standings and boast the joint-highest attack in the East (46 GF), led by Denkey (11 goals) and Evander (8 assists). However, Cincinnati's recent form is alarming — five winless home games and a 4-0 thrashing by Nashville — while Philadelphia's home advantage at Subaru Park keeps this competitive, making a narrow away win the most likely but far from certain outcome.
Cincinnati sit well clear in mid-table with far superior attack and points tally while Philadelphia languish near the bottom with a negative GD; even as visitors the stronger side is most likely to edge a typically open MLS contest, though a draw remains fully plausible.
FC Cincinnati possess significantly superior attacking output (2.42 goals/game vs Philadelphia's 1.39) and sit 11 points above them in the standings, though their recent slump (two wins in six, a 4-0 loss to Nashville) and leaky defense (45 GA) keep Philadelphia competitive, especially at home.
FC Cincinnati sit 11 points clear of Philadelphia in the standings with a far superior attack (46 GF vs 25), and while their defense is leaky (45 GA), Philadelphia's poor overall form (4W-10L in 18) limits their threat even at home. Cincinnati's attacking firepower should edge a match where both sides are capable of scoring.
Philadelphia UnionFC Cincinnati