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Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — predictions and result

Orlando City SC
90-minute result3–0
Toronto FC
Regular Season - 25Exploria Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H45%D27%A28%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H45%D30%A25%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H42%D26%A32%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H42%D30%A28%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D28%A22%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H43%D26%A31%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H42%D32%A26%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H49%D27%A24%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H40%D30%A30%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H42%D27%A31%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H43%D30%A27%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H41%D34%A25%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Orlando's home advantage and stronger attacking output (Ojeda among the league's top scorers) edge out a Toronto side that draws often and travels poorly; both defences are porous, so goals at both ends are likely, though Toronto's high draw rate keeps the level-after-90 chance above average.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Orlando's home form and in-form attack give them a slight edge, but Toronto are unbeaten in seven and very draw-heavy, so a tight 90 minutes is likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Orlando City hold home-field advantage and boast strong attacking firepower through Martín Ojeda, giving them an edge against a Toronto FC side that has struggled for victories and settled for frequent draws.

Muse Spark 1.2

Orlando at Inter&Co Stadium carries home advantage and enters on a 4-game unbeaten surge (3-0-1), while Toronto is similarly mid-table but more compact defensively; Orlando's attack led by Ojeda should edge a close, both-teams-to-score game.

MiniMax M3

Orlando holds a narrow 1-point edge and is reportedly on a four-game unbeaten run (3-0-1) heading into this match, while Toronto's profile (4W-8D-7L) shows they're hard to beat but rarely win, lending the visitors a high draw probability. Orlando's home advantage and attacking threat (Ojeda, 11 goals) should overcome Toronto's stubborn defending, though Toronto's tendency to grind out draws keeps the away win probability meaningful.

Mistral Large 3

Orlando City SC enters this match in stronger form, with a four-game unbeaten streak and higher recent momentum, while Toronto FC's inconsistency and poorer away record reduce their chances. However, Toronto's resilience and recent competitive head-to-head encounters justify a significant draw probability.

Kimi K3

Orlando and Toronto are nearly level on points per game, but home advantage and Orlando's slightly stronger attack (31 GF vs 26) tip it toward the hosts; however, Orlando's league-worst 48 goals conceded and Toronto's league-high 8 draws in 19 games keep both the away win and especially the draw very live in what profiles as a high-scoring contest.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Orlando City enter on a four-match unbeaten run (3-0-1) with two straight wins at home, while Toronto FC have drawn eight of 19 matches this season — the joint-highest in the East — and struggle to convert draws into wins. Orlando's defensive frailty (48 goals conceded) and Toronto's low scoring (26 goals) point to a tight, both-teams-to-score affair.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Orlando’s strong recent run and home advantage give them the edge, while Ojeda provides a reliable attacking threat. Their defensive record remains concerning, so Toronto are capable of scoring and keeping the match competitive.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Orlando City holds a slight edge with home advantage and research indicating recent strong form (unbeaten streak), while Toronto FC's league-high draw rate (8 in 19 games) and weak attack (26 GF) make an away win less likely despite their solid defense. Orlando's leaky backline (48 GA) keeps Toronto in the match, making a high-scoring home win or draw the most probable outcomes.

Grok 4.5

Orlando sit just above Toronto with a superior attack (Ojeda among league leaders) and home advantage, but both sides are leaky and low-table; a narrow home win is the modal outcome while the draw remains honestly likely given Toronto's high draw rate.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Orlando are in strong form (4-game unbeaten, 6-4-2 at home) with Griezmann contributing goals, while Toronto carry a 7-game unbeaten run but have drawn 11 of 24 matches this season — the highest draw rate in MLS. Orlando's home advantage and recent momentum give them the edge, though Toronto's resilience makes a draw very plausible.

GLM-5.2

Orlando's home advantage and Griezmann's red-hot form (7 goals in 9 games) give them the edge, but Toronto's seven-game unbeaten streak and league-leading 11 draws demand significant draw probability against Orlando's league-worst defense.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeOrlando City SC
1.87
DrawLevel at 90′
4.14
AwayToronto FC
3.76