Orlando City SC
San Diego| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H40%D25%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D26%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H42%D26%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H30%D24%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H36%D24%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Orlando are inconsistent and leak goals heavily (48 conceded), but their home form and attacking output at Inter&Co give them a slight edge over a San Diego side that is mid-table and travelling cross-country for a first-ever meeting; both defenses are porous, so a high-scoring, close game is likely.
Orlando are much stronger at home while San Diego have struggled on the road and are missing key attackers, but San Diego's recent form and Orlando's leaky defense keep this tight, with 1-1 the most likely scoreline.
Orlando City hold home advantage and possess reliable scoring power through Martín Ojeda, giving them a slight edge despite a vulnerable defense against a well-balanced San Diego side traveling cross-country.
Orlando at home with San Diego facing a coast-to-coast trip offsets Orlando's very leaky defense, leaving a narrow home edge in what should be an open game between two teams with proven 11-goal scorers.
Orlando are poor defensively (48 goals conceded, worst in the top half of the East) but hold home advantage; San Diego are more balanced (33 GF, 29 GA) and draw at an unusually high rate (6 of 19). Both sides feature a top-tier striker (Ojeda 11, Ingvartsen 11), so a tight, goal-sharing contest with a draw the most plausible single outcome.
Orlando City SC are at home with a recent tactical upturn in wider areas and ball progression, but San Diego FC have shown resilience in attack (33 goals scored) and are improving on the road. The first-ever meeting and non-conference nature of the fixture add unpredictability, making a draw a significant possibility.
Orlando's defense is the leakiest in the East (48 goals conceded in 19 games, GD -17), while San Diego boasts a positive goal difference (+4) and a productive attack led by Ingvartsen (11 goals) and Dreyer (7 assists), making the visitors slight favorites despite the long road trip. Home advantage and MLS's high draw rate keep Orlando live, but the mismatch between San Diego's attack and Orlando's back line points to a narrow away win.
San Diego's superior defensive record (29 GA vs Orlando's 48) and comparable attack balance Orlando's home advantage, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome.
San Diego have been more balanced defensively and carry a positive goal difference, while Orlando have conceded at an exceptionally high rate. Orlando’s home advantage keeps this close, but San Diego’s attack is likely to exploit the hosts’ defensive weakness.
San Diego's significantly tighter defense (1.53 GA/game vs Orlando's 2.53) gives them the edge, and Orlando's leaky back line (48 conceded) is likely to be exploited by Ingvartsen and Dreyer. However, Orlando's home advantage and Ojeda's goalscoring threat keep this competitive, making a narrow away win the most likely single outcome.
Orlando's leaky defense (48 GA) offsets home advantage against a more balanced San Diego side with solid GD, making a low-scoring draw the modal outcome in this first-ever meeting.
Orlando City's porous defense (48 goals conceded in 19 games, GD -17) is a major liability against a San Diego side with a positive goal difference (+4) and a more balanced profile of 33 GF / 29 GA. While home advantage in MLS is significant, Orlando's overall quality deficit — sitting 10th in the East with just 21 points — gives San Diego the edge in this first-ever meeting.
Orlando's home advantage and recent defensive improvement under Griezmann's arrival give them a slight edge, but San Diego's strong August form (3-1-1, scoring 3 in each of their last two) and Dreyer's creativity make this a closely contested affair where both sides should find the net.
Orlando City SCSan Diego