Claude Opus 4.8
Two attacking sides in good form meet with Orlando's leaky defense (48 GA) offsetting home advantage against a strong RSL road unit, pointing to an open, high-scoring and closely-matched game.
MLSFull time
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake — predictions and result
Orlando City SC90-minute result2–1
Real Salt LakeRegular Season - 21Exploria Stadium
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–2 | H38%D26%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H44%D25%A31% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H34%D26%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D26%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–2 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D24%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H46%D24%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H36%D24%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H35%D34%A31% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Orlando are mediocre overall but respectable at home (4-4-2) with Ojeda leading a productive attack, while Real Salt Lake have been poor on the road (1-5-3) despite a solid overall record. Orlando's leaky defense (48 conceded) means goals at both ends are likely, so a narrow home win in an open game is the most probable outcome.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Real Salt Lake are the stronger side (6th West, 1.56 PPG) and face an Orlando defense that has leaked a league-worst 48 goals. Orlando's home advantage and RSL's poor road record (1-5-3) keep it competitive, but RSL's superior quality and both teams' scoring form point to an away win in a game where both sides should find the net.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Orlando City has struggled defensively this season, conceding a league-high 48 goals in 19 matches. Despite being at home, they face a more balanced Real Salt Lake side that should capitalize on these defensive frailties to secure a narrow victory.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Orlando City SC benefits from solid home form (4-4-2 at Inter&Co Stadium) and the individual threat of 11-goal top scorer Martin Ojeda against a Real Salt Lake side that has managed just one win on the road all season (1-5-3). While RSL possesses a stronger overall goal differential, Orlando's home advantage and Florida's demanding summer conditions give the hosts the edge in a close contest.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Real Salt Lake have struggled away from home with just one road victory, while Orlando City are far more reliable on their own turf led by Martín Ojeda's sharp scoring form.
Gemma 4 31B
Real Salt Lake is significantly higher in the standings (6th West vs 10th East) and possesses a much stronger goal difference (+4 vs -17). Orlando City has struggled defensively this season, conceding 48 goals, which makes them vulnerable to an RSL side that is currently in a strong run of form.
Muse Spark 1.2
RSL's stronger overall record (+4 GD vs -17) and two-game unbeaten run outweighs Orlando's home edge, especially with Orlando on a third game in seven days and conceding 2.5 per game; both sides scoring trend supports an away 2-1.
MiniMax M3
Orlando is poor overall (6W-10L) but reasonably solid at home (4-4-2), while RSL is in much better league form (8W-6L, +4 GD) but has a dreadful away record (1-5-3) per the research. Both sides score freely (Orlando 31, RSL 30) and Orlando's leaky defense (48 GA) combined with RSL's recent scoring matches (last 17 with 2+ goals) point to goals for both, with home advantage and RSL's road struggles keeping Orlando slight favorites in a tight, high-scoring contest.
Mistral Large 3
Both teams are in strong form, with attacking threats and recent goal-scoring trends. Orlando's solid home record and Real Salt Lake's unbeaten streak, combined with their tendency to concede, suggest an open, high-scoring match with a slight edge to Orlando but a high probability of a draw.
Kimi K2.6
Real Salt Lake's stronger goal difference and more reliable defense should exploit Orlando's porous backline, though Orlando's home advantage and Martin Ojeda's scoring threat make a high-scoring affair likely.
Kimi K3
Orlando's ugly overall record masks a solid home split (~4-2-4 at home) while RSL has been poor on the road (~1-3-5 away), so venue flips the edge to the hosts. Orlando's matches are among the league's highest-scoring (79 total goals in 19 games) and their defense leaks badly, so an RSL goal is likely, but home advantage makes a narrow Orlando win the most likely outcome.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Orlando's solid home record (4-4-2) contrasts with RSL's poor away form (1-5-3), but RSL's superior overall quality and recent form (WLWWD) balance the match, making a high-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Real Salt Lake have been substantially more balanced defensively, while Orlando have conceded 48 goals in 19 matches. Home advantage and Martín Ojeda’s scoring threat keep this close, but RSL are slight favorites in a high-scoring matchup.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Real Salt Lake holds the actual home advantage at altitude and boasts a far superior defensive record (26 GA in 18 games vs. Orlando's 48 GA in 19), while both sides are in surging form and expected to score. RSL's congested schedule is a minor concern, but their overall quality and home-field edge make them the most likely winners in a game where Orlando's attacking threat through Ojeda should still produce a goal.
Grok 4.5
RSL sit clearly higher with a solid GD and better overall record while Orlando's leaky defense (48 GA) makes them vulnerable at home; both sides can score so a narrow away win is the most likely single outcome, with draw probability kept honest around the league base rate.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Orlando's solid home form (4-4-2) meets RSL's dreadful road record (1-5-3 away), giving the hosts a narrow edge despite being the lower-placed team. Orlando's leaky defense makes a clean sheet unlikely, but Ojeda and Griezmann should exploit RSL's travel woes in what should be an open, entertaining match.
GLM-5.2
RSL's dreadful road record (1-5-3) and poor MLS form (LLDLL) offset their overall quality edge, while Orlando's home advantage is undermined by the absence of top scorer Ojeda (11 goals) and severe fixture fatigue (5th match in 11 days). With both sides depleted and struggling, a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeOrlando City SC
- 1.96
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 4.29
- AwayReal Salt Lake
- 3.35