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Orlando City SC vs New York City FC — predictions and result

Orlando City SC
90-minute result2–2
New York City FC
Regular Season - 31Exploria Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H40%D26%A34%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H46%D26%A28%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H43%D26%A31%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H43%D26%A31%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H46%D27%A27%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H45%D30%A25%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H40%D25%A35%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H40%D27%A33%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H40%D27%A33%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H40%D26%A34%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D26%A22%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H39%D27%A34%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H40%D25%A35%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Orlando are a very different side at home — riding a long home winning streak with Griezmann and Ojeda in scoring form — which offsets their dreadful overall goal difference built largely on road blowouts. NYCFC are the more balanced team defensively and travel well enough to make this close, so a tight, open game with a narrow Orlando edge is the call.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Orlando City's five-game home winning run and in-form attack led by Griezmann give them the edge, while NYCFC's injury issues and recent winless form make a narrow home win most likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Orlando City's potent attack led by Martín Ojeda and Antoine Griezmann gives them an edge at Inter.co Stadium where they have been in strong form. Although NYCFC are defensively solid and dangerous through Nicolás Fernández Mercau, the hosts' home momentum should narrowly carry them through.

Muse Spark 1.2

Orlando's five-game home winning streak and hot attack (Griezmann Player of Matchday, Ojeda 11 goals, all three DPs scoring last outing) gives them a narrow edge at Inter&Co despite NYCFC's far superior overall balance (+7 GD vs -17) and earlier 5-0 win in the Bronx, making a high-scoring home win most likely while draw remains very live.

MiniMax M3

Orlando's recent revival, five-game home winning streak and Griezmann-led attack give the Lions the edge, while New York's winless recent run and several absences weaken their away case. NYCFC's stronger defense and previous 5-0 meeting make a close finish more likely.

Mistral Large 3

Orlando City SC enters the match with strong home form (5-game home winning streak) and momentum from recent high-scoring performances, while New York City FC has struggled recently with inconsistent results and defensive frailties. However, NYCFC's attacking talent and historical success against Orlando balance the probabilities, making a draw a realistic outcome.

Kimi K3

Orlando carries strong home momentum into this one — a high-scoring win last time out with all three Designated Players scoring (Griezmann and Ojeda honored) — which partly offsets NYCFC's superior season profile (26 pts, +7 GD, just 24 goals conceded vs Orlando's leaky 48 allowed). With MLS home advantage but Orlando's defensive fragility against a side led by 13-goal Fernández Mercau, this shapes up as a tight, slightly home-leaning contest with a genuine draw risk.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Orlando City SC ride a five-game home winning streak into this match and come off a high-scoring outing where all three Designated Players scored, with Griezmann earning Player of Matchday honors. NYCFC hold superior season-long numbers (better GD, defense, table position) but face a red-hot Orlando side at Inter&co Stadium.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Orlando's five-game home winning streak and recent attacking momentum give them a narrow edge. NYCFC have the stronger season-long defense and Fernández Mercau's scoring threat, so both a draw and an away win remain substantial possibilities.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Orlando City enters on a five-game home winning streak with strong attacking momentum — Griezmann and Ojeda (11 goals) both featured in a recent high-scoring Team of the Matchday performance. Despite NYCFC's superior overall record and tighter defense (24 GA vs. Orlando's 48), Orlando's home form and offensive firepower give them a narrow edge at Inter.co Stadium.

Grok 4.5

Orlando sit higher with strong home form (9-4-2, five straight home wins) and elite October attack led by Griezmann-Ojeda, while NYCFC are winless in five, injury-hit in midfield, and desperate but leaky late; home edge and current momentum make a narrow Lions win the likeliest 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Orlando ride a five-game home winning streak with Griezmann and Ojeda in form, and their home performances have been far stronger than their poor overall record and -17 goal difference suggest. NYCFC are the steadier side with the league's joint-top scorer in Fernández Mercau and an attack that can exploit Orlando's leaky defense (48 conceded), so a narrow home win in a high-event game is the likeliest single outcome.

GLM-5.2

Orlando's five-game home winning streak and momentum from a high-scoring outing with Griezmann and Ojeda in form give them an edge, but their league-worst defense (48 GA in 19) against NYCFC's solid back line (24 GA in 18) keeps this closely contested.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeOrlando City SC
2.12
DrawLevel at 90′
4.05
AwayNew York City FC
3.16