Orlando City SC
DC United| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H37%D34%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H41%D27%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D21%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D35%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D34%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D35%A34% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Orlando have home advantage and a potent attack led by Ojeda, but their leaky defense (48 conceded) keeps this close against a DC United side that is defensively tidier and has drawn nearly half its matches. A tight Orlando win is most likely, with a stalemate a very live alternative.
Orlando's four-match home winning run and D.C.'s winless seven away (0W-3D-4L) give the hosts the edge, but D.C.'s draw-heavy road profile and Orlando's depleted, leaky defence keep the draw and away goals in play.
Orlando City boasts dangerous attacking talent led by Martín Ojeda and holds home advantage, but their league-worst defensive record will afford chances to a stubborn, draw-prone DC United side.
Orlando at Inter&Co has the attacking edge via Ojeda (11 goals) but concedes heavily (48 GA), while DC under Weiler is hard to beat with 9 draws in 19 and an ongoing unbeaten run, pointing to a tight game where 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline with home win only marginally more likely than away.
Both sides sit in the Eastern Conference's bottom half with similar records, but DC's tendency to draw (9 of 19 matches) and Orlando's league-worst defensive record (48 GA) plus their heavy loss count (10 of 19) make this a hard match to separate; Orlando's home advantage and Ojeda-led attack edge them slightly, but a low-scoring stalemate feels most likely.
Orlando gets home-field edge and owns the more productive attack (Ojeda, 11 goals), but their league-worst Eastern defense (48 GA in 19) keeps a DC side that has drawn nearly half its matches (9 of 19) and holds a better goal difference firmly in the game. Expect a moderately high-scoring, tight contest where Orlando's home advantage narrowly outweighs DC's superior defensive record, with the draw a live possibility given DC's extreme draw tendency.
Orlando's potent attack led by Ojeda (11 goals) faces DC's porous defense, but United's league-high draw rate (47%) and organized away shape make a close home win most likely.
DC United have been substantially more resilient defensively, while Orlando have conceded 48 goals in 19 matches. Home advantage and DC's high draw rate make 1-1 the likeliest exact score, though Orlando's defensive vulnerability gives DC the stronger overall win chance.
DC United's extraordinary draw rate (9 in 19 games, 47%) is the dominant signal here, as their solid defense (30 GA) neutralizes Orlando's attack while their weak offense (27 GF) struggles to break down even modest defenses. Orlando's leaky backline (48 GA) and poor overall form (10 losses) offset their home advantage, making a tight, low-scoring draw the single most likely outcome.
Orlando sit just below DC with a leaky defense (GA 48) despite Ojeda's scoring, while DC's high draw rate (9 in 19) and slightly better GD point to a tight, low-scoring Eastern Conference scrap likely ending level.
DC United have drawn 9 of 19 matches this season (47%), the highest draw rate in the conference, while Orlando City's leaky defense (48 GA) is offset by their home advantage and Ojeda's 11-goal output. These factors point to a tight, level contest with both sides finding the net.
Orlando's home advantage is undercut by the league's worst defensive record (48 conceded in 19), while DC United's league-high nine draws suggest they are hard to beat but rarely win, making a tight, low-scoring affair the most likely outcome.
Orlando City SCDC United