New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H50%D24%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H51%D26%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H48%D28%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H47%D24%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Red Bull New York are far stronger at Sports Illustrated Stadium and will dominate possession and territory against a Toronto side missing multiple defenders, but New York's leaky backline (41 conceded) and Toronto's draw-heavy, stubborn profile keep this from being a comfortable call.
New York Red Bulls are at home and face a Toronto FC side missing three starting defenders, which should let RBNY's pressing attack control the match; Toronto still carries enough attacking threat against a leaky RBNY back line to make a 2-1 home win the most likely scoreline.
The New York Red Bulls hold the home advantage and tactical edge through Emil Forsberg against a depleted Toronto FC backline missing three defenders in a crucial late-season clash.
New York at home with Toronto down three defenders and needing to chase a must-win game should create space for Forsberg between the lines, giving the Red Bulls a narrow edge in a high-chance game where both sides concede heavily.
Red Bulls hold home advantage and sit 5 places above Toronto with 7W vs 4W this season; Toronto enter reportedly depleted in defense (missing three defenders) while still being in must-win playoff territory, increasing pressure but reducing their ceiling. Both sides have negative goal differences and leaky defenses (Red Bulls GA 41, Toronto GA 33), so a narrow home win in a scrappy game is the most plausible single outcome, with a draw honestly probable given Toronto's resilience on the road.
New York Red Bulls hold a significant edge in form, defensive solidity (11 goals fewer conceded), and home advantage, while Toronto FC's injury concerns and recent defensive struggles further tilt the balance. However, Toronto's motivation to avoid missing the playoffs and the Red Bulls' inconsistent finishing keep the draw and away win within reasonable range.
NYRB hold home-field edge against a Toronto side reportedly missing three defenders, and Forsberg's creativity should exploit that makeshift back line; however, the Red Bulls' own leaky defense (41 conceded in 19) and Toronto's draw-heavy record (8 in 19) keep this from being comfortable, making 2-1 the modal outcome with the draw a live alternative.
New York Red Bulls hold home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium, sit five points above Toronto in the Eastern Conference, and face a Toronto side missing three defenders; Emil Forsberg's creativity and the Red Bulls' superior attacking output (30 GF vs 26) tilt the match toward a narrow home win.
New York have the stronger attacking profile and home advantage, while Toronto are reportedly missing three defenders. The Red Bulls’ defensive vulnerability and Toronto’s draw tendency keep the draw and away-win probabilities meaningful.
Toronto FC are missing three defenders, severely weakening their back line against a Red Bulls side motivated to climb into the postseason at home. Despite Toronto's unusually high draw rate this season, the defensive injury crisis should produce a more decisive result, with the Red Bulls' superior attacking output at home edging a narrow victory.
Red Bulls sit higher with more wins and home advantage against a Toronto side missing multiple defenders and struggling for consistency; both defenses are leaky so a narrow home win is the clearest single outcome while the draw retains honest weight.
The Red Bulls boast a remarkable 16-1-2 all-time home record against Toronto at Sports Illustrated Stadium and are buoyed by a recent 4-1 home thrashing of San Diego, while Toronto are missing three key defenders and are in must-win desperation mode on the road — conditions that favor the hosts. Emil Forsberg's creative influence and Ronald Donkor's assist form should exploit a depleted Toronto backline, though Toronto's desperation and Sallói's threat keep this closer than the table suggests.
The Red Bulls sit five points ahead of Toronto in the standings and have home advantage, while Toronto are reportedly missing three defenders for this must-win fixture, significantly weakening their back line. However, Toronto's high draw rate (8 draws in 19 games) keeps the draw probability elevated.
New York Red BullsToronto FC