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New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City — predictions and result

New York Red Bulls
90-minute result0–3
St. Louis City
Regular Season - 27Sports Illustrated Stadium

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H31%D28%A41%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H30%D32%A38%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H37%D29%A34%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H38%D27%A35%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H33%D33%A34%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H38%D27%A35%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H32%D35%A33%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H28%D28%A44%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H32%D28%A40%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H24%D29%A47%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

St. Louis arrive on a lengthy unbeaten run with a settled, defensively organised side under Damet and have climbed sharply, making them the stronger team despite travelling; the Red Bulls have steadied with back-to-back home clean sheets, which plus Red Bull Arena's intensity keeps this tight. A low-scoring, cagey game with a high draw chance is the likeliest shape.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

St. Louis City's 16-match unbeaten run and superior defensive record (25 GA, +2 GD) point to value on the road side, while the Red Bulls' back-to-back home clean sheets and home advantage make a draw the safest single result.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

St. Louis City enters this matchup in formidable form on a long unbeaten run, while New York Red Bulls have steadied their campaign with consecutive 1-0 victories. Given the hosts' renewed defensive stability at Red Bull Arena against a high-flying away side, a tightly contested score draw is the most probable outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Red Bulls bring back-to-back 1-0 wins and clean sheets with Horvath in goal and a full-strength attack led by Hall and Forsberg at Red Bull Arena, but St. Louis City's superior season defensive record and extended unbeaten climb make this a near toss-up tilted slightly to the hosts by home advantage.

MiniMax M3

St. Louis City arrives riding a 16-match unbeaten run across competitions and boasts a much stronger defensive record (25 GA vs NYRB's 41 GA) and goal difference, while New York Red Bulls have home advantage and recent momentum with back-to-back clean-sheet wins (Julian Hall in form). The clash of St. Louis's defensive solidity and momentum against NYRB's home form and improving defense points toward a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw is the single most likely outcome.

Mistral Large 3

St. Louis City's 16-match unbeaten run and strong defensive record, combined with the New York Red Bulls' recent resurgence and home advantage, create a finely balanced fixture. Both teams are defensively solid, making a draw highly probable.

Kimi K3

St. Louis City arrive on a 16-match league unbeaten run (11-0-5) and rarely lose, but the Red Bulls have rediscovered defensive solidity with back-to-back 1-0 wins, field a full-strength squad led by Julian Hall and Emil Forsberg, and hold home advantage at Red Bull Arena. With St. Louis missing a player to international duty and both sides trending toward tight, low-scoring games, a draw is very live in a near coin-flip contest.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

St. Louis City arrives on a 16-match MLS unbeaten run (11W-5D) with the league's 4th-best defence (25 GA in 19), but miss a player to international duty. New York Red Bulls have won their last two 1-0 with clean sheets after a six-game winless streak, and Julian Hall (10 goals) plus Emil Forsberg (32 chances created) give them home threat. The defensive profiles and recent low-scoring trends point to a tight, likely level contest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

St. Louis' long unbeaten run gives them a slight overall edge, but New York's home advantage and consecutive wins with clean sheets balance the matchup. A tight draw is the most likely outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

St. Louis City's remarkable 16-match unbeaten run (11-0-5) and league-best defensive record (25 GA in 19 games) make them clear favorites even on the road, but NY Red Bulls' home advantage and back-to-back clean sheets suggest a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw remains highly plausible.

Grok 4.5

St. Louis arrive on a 16-match unbeaten MLS run (11-0-5) and sit higher in the table with a solid defensive record, while the Red Bulls have only just snapped a poor spell with two clean-sheet wins; home advantage and recent NYRB momentum keep it tight but the visitors' form edges the most likely result toward a draw or narrow away success.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

St. Louis City's extraordinary 16-match unbeaten run (11W-5D) makes them strong favorites despite playing away, though New York Red Bulls' back-to-back clean sheets and home advantage keep this competitive; the Red Bulls' leaky defense (41 GA in 19) is likely to be breached by a confident St. Louis side.

GLM-5.2

St. Louis City's extraordinary 16-match unbeaten run and prolific recent scoring form (3 goals per game in their last five) make them clear favourites despite being on the road, though the Red Bulls' back-to-back clean sheets and home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium should keep it competitive.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeNew York Red Bulls
3.70
DrawLevel at 90′
4.18
AwaySt. Louis City
1.88