New York Red Bulls
San Diego| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H35%D26%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H41%D28%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H38%D26%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D32%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H31%D29%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
New York's leaky defense (41 conceded) and a four-game home winless run, capped by a 3-0 loss to St. Louis, offset their home advantage against a San Diego side that creates plenty (33 goals) and travels reasonably well. Two evenly matched, mid-table sides with defensive flaws points to a tight, goal-sharing contest with the draw a live outcome.
New York's four-game home winless slide and leaky defense offset their home edge, while San Diego have drawn their last two away and carry more attacking threat. A tight 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline.
The New York Red Bulls have struggled for consistency at home, having won just one of their last seven matches at Red Bull Arena. Facing a dangerous San Diego attack led by Marcus Ingvartsen and Anders Dreyer, a tightly contested score draw is the most probable outcome.
New York's four-game home winless run (1 win in last 7 at home, 3-0 loss to St. Louis last out) and league-worst -11 GD undermine home advantage, while San Diego's more balanced attack (33 GF, Ingvartsen 11 goals/Dreyer 7 assists) showed away threat leading 3-1 at Austin before late collapse.
Red Bulls have been atrocious at home (1 win in last 7 home MLS matches) and just lost 3-0 at home to St. Louis, while San Diego's superior goal difference (+4 vs -11) and decent attacking output (Ingvartsen, Dreyer) gives them the edge despite their own away fragility shown in the late collapse at Austin.
This is close to a coin-flip: the Red Bulls carry home advantage but have won just once in their last seven at home (four-game home skid, including a 3-0 loss to St. Louis) and own one of the East's leakiest defenses, while San Diego boasts a positive goal difference and a potent attack (Ingvartsen 11 goals, Dreyer 7 assists) but is inconsistent and traveling cross-country. The even balance makes 1-1 the most likely scoreline, with the draw probability kept honest near the league norm.
Red Bulls have won only 1 of their last 7 home MLS matches and conceded 3-0 to St. Louis last time out, while San Diego held a 3-1 lead at Austin before drawing; both sides need points for playoff positioning, but New York's porous home defence (41 GA in 19 games) and San Diego's superior goal difference (+4 vs -11) make a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
San Diego have the better goal difference and face a Red Bulls side struggling at home, but their recent late collapse at Austin and the long road trip make a draw a strong possibility.
New York Red Bulls' dire home form (1 win in their last 7 at home, including a 3-0 loss to St. Louis City) and league-worst defensive record (41 goals conceded) make them vulnerable despite playoff desperation. San Diego's superior goal difference (+4 vs -11), stronger defensive structure, and promising away form — nearly winning 3-1 at Austin before a late collapse — give the visitors the edge in a closely contested match.
Red Bulls sit in a playoff scrap but have been poor at home (1 win in last 7, recent 3-0 loss) with a leaky defense (GA 41); San Diego are mid-table West with solid GD and attack (Ingvartsen 11 goals) yet inconsistent away, making a low-scoring draw the likeliest true outcome.
The Red Bulls are in a dire home slump (0-3-1 in their last 4 at home, outscored 8-2) and have been shut out 8 times this season, while San Diego have shown they can score on the road with 2 goals at Inter Miami and 3 at Austin in their last two away trips. With both teams fighting for their playoff lives but the Red Bulls' defensive fragility at home and San Diego's attacking threat via Dreyer (11 goals, 12 assists), the visitors hold a slight edge in this cross-conference clash.
The Red Bulls have been dreadful at home, losing four straight and winning just one of their last seven at home, including a 3-0 thrashing by St. Louis. San Diego carry a positive goal difference (+4 vs NYRB's -11) and showed strong away attacking form with three goals at Austin last time out, making them the more likely winners despite the draw being a real possibility.
New York Red BullsSan Diego