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New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC — predictions and result

New York Red Bulls
90-minute result0–1
Nashville SC
Regular Season - 20Sports Illustrated Stadium

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H32%D26%A42%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H30%D25%A45%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–1
H27%D28%A45%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle1–2
H28%D26%A46%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–2
H27%D27%A46%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–1
H28%D30%A42%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–1
H28%D26%A46%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax0–1
H27%D28%A45%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H28%D32%A40%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H23%D25%A52%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H31%D27%A42%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H28%D30%A42%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H25%D25%A50%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–1
H28%D27%A45%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–2
H22%D26%A52%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Nashville lead the East with the league's meanest defense (+24 GD), giving them the edge despite playing away, while the Red Bulls' leaky backline (41 GA) is a liability; Nashville's defensive solidity and superior form make an away win the most likely outcome.

Claude Opus 5

Nashville are the East's runaway leaders with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19), while the Red Bulls have a negative goal difference and have conceded 41 goals despite decent home energy. Red Bull Arena's press keeps this competitive, but Nashville's balance and Surridge's finishing make them the likelier winners.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Nashville are top of the East with the league's best defensive record and are in strong form, while the Red Bulls have been leaky and inconsistent. NYRB's home edge and a draw-heavy head-to-head keep a draw plausible, but Nashville's control makes an away win the most likely result.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Nashville SC sit comfortably atop the Eastern Conference with an impressive +24 goal difference, driven by a rock-solid defense that has conceded just 15 times. The Red Bulls have leaked 41 goals this season, and even with home advantage, they will struggle to contain Nashville's efficient attack.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC arrive in peak form, boasting the league's best defensive record with only 15 goals conceded in 19 matches. Facing a New York Red Bulls side that has conceded 41 goals this season, Nashville's clinical attack led by Sam Surridge should carry them to an away victory.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Conference leaders Nashville SC boast the league's stingiest defense having conceded just 15 goals in 19 matches, which should give them the edge against a leaky Red Bulls side that has allowed 41 goals.

Gemma 4 31B

Nashville SC is the current Eastern Conference leader with a dominant defensive record (only 15 goals conceded), while the Red Bulls have struggled defensively, conceding 41 goals. Nashville's tactical discipline and superior league position make them the favorites, though a low-scoring draw is a strong possibility given Nashville's defensive style.

Muse Spark 1.2

Nashville lead the East with the league's best defence (15 GA in 19) and +24 GD vs Red Bulls' -11, outweighing home advantage; Nashville's low-block, destabilising style points to a tight away win despite New York's unbeaten H2H record.

MiniMax M3

Nashville SC is the class of MLS this season (13-4-2, +24 GD, league-best 15 goals conceded) and travels to face a mediocre Red Bulls side (7-4-8, -11 GD, porous defense with 41 goals allowed). Nashville's elite defense and Surridge-led attack give them a clear edge even on the road, though Red Bulls' home advantage keeps this from being a heavy favorite scenario; a tight, low-scoring Nashville win is the most likely single outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Nashville SC's defensive solidity and recent historical dominance in this fixture, combined with New York Red Bulls' inconsistent home form and Nashville's superior league position, make Nashville slight favorites. However, draws are common in tightly contested MLS matches, especially with Nashville's defensive approach likely to limit high-scoring chances.

Kimi K2.6

Nashville SC have been the Eastern Conference's standout side in 2026, combining the league's best defense with excellent away form, while New York's porous backline and patchy recent results leave them vulnerable even at home.

Kimi K3

Nashville are the class of the East (13 wins, +24 GD, league-best 15 goals conceded) and should handle a Red Bulls side leaking over two goals per game (-11 GD), even on the road. Home advantage and NYRB's historically unbeaten record in this matchup keep the draw and a home upset live, but Nashville's defensive structure and superior attack make an away win the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Nashville SC lead the Eastern Conference with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19) and a +24 GD, while New York Red Bulls sit 8th with a -11 GD and 41 goals conceded. However, the Red Bulls have never lost to Nashville historically and hold home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely exact scoreline despite Nashville's superior season form.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Nashville combine the league's strongest defensive record with a much better goal difference, while New York have conceded 41 goals in 19 matches. Home advantage gives the Red Bulls a chance, but Nashville's balance makes an away win most likely.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Nashville SC leads the Eastern Conference with 43 points and boasts the league's stingiest defense (15 GA in 19 games), while NY Red Bulls sit 8th with a leaky back line (41 GA). Despite Red Bulls' home advantage, Nashville's superior quality, defensive solidity, and only 2 losses all season make them clear favorites in a tight away contest.

Grok 4.5

Nashville lead the East with elite defense (15 GA) and +24 GD after 19 games, while Red Bulls sit 8th with a leaky back line (41 GA). Home advantage and historical edge for NYRB keep it competitive, but Nashville's quality and structure make them clear favorites in a tight, low-ish scoring contest.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Nashville SC are the clear league leaders with a formidable defensive record (15 GA in 19 matches) and a +24 goal difference, while the Red Bulls sit 8th with a -11 GD and have conceded 41 goals. Nashville's defensively disciplined style should neutralize New York's home advantage, making an away win the most probable outcome.

GLM-5.2

Nashville sit atop the East with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and just dismantled Inter Miami 4-1, while NYRB are 8th with a leaky defense (41 GA), have lost 3 of their last 5, and have conceded in 8 straight home matches — making a Nashville away win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeNew York Red Bulls
3.01
DrawLevel at 90′
3.84
AwayNashville SC
2.18