New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H33%D25%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H32%D25%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H34%D26%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H35%D27%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H35%D27%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H31%D26%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D26%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H28%D28%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H24%D24%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D22%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H31%D25%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D24%A49% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Chicago Fire are the more efficient side with a solid goal difference and in-form scorer Cuypers, while the Red Bulls' porous defense (41 goals conceded, -11 GD) leaves them vulnerable even at home, though home advantage and the fixture's typical closeness keep the draw a real possibility.
Chicago have the better underlying profile (games in hand, +9 GD, Cuypers and Zinckernagel driving a productive attack) while the Red Bulls' porous defense has shipped 41 goals, the worst among East playoff contenders. Home advantage at Harrison keeps it competitive, but the Fire should edge a fairly open game.
Chicago Fire are in much stronger form, winning six straight across all competitions and carrying a sharper goal difference, while the young Red Bulls have lost four of five since the World Cup break and are leaking goals. Home field keeps New York competitive, but Chicago's current quality makes an away win the likeliest result.
Despite being the away side, Chicago Fire boasts a potent attack led by Hugo Cuypers that should exploit a leaky New York Red Bulls defense which has conceded 41 goals in 19 matches. Although Chicago has some injury concerns, their superior overall form makes them slight favorites.
Chicago Fire enter in stronger form sitting fourth in the East with a prolific attack led by 13-goal striker Hugo Cuypers. Facing a leaky Red Bulls side that has conceded 41 goals in 19 matches, the Fire are well-positioned to pick up an away victory despite New York's home advantage.
Chicago Fire's potent attack led by Hugo Cuypers matches up well against a leaky New York Red Bulls backline that has conceded over two goals per game this season.
Chicago Fire sits higher in the Eastern Conference standings (4th vs 8th) and possesses a more potent attack led by Hugo Cuypers. The Red Bulls have struggled defensively this season, conceding 41 goals, making them vulnerable to Chicago's clinical finishing.
Chicago's superior efficiency (1.71 ppg vs 1.32, +9 GD vs -11) and elite attack with Cuypers outweighs NYRB home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium; NYRB's porous defense (2.16 GA/game) should concede to Chicago's attack in a tight away win.
Chicago Fire are the clearly stronger side (4th in East with +9 GD vs Red Bulls' 8th with -11 GD), boasting Cuypers (13 goals) and Zinckernagel (7 assists), while the Red Bulls' porous defense (41 GA in 19 games) and youthful squad under first-year coach Michael Bradley offset home advantage; however, the Red Bulls' decent attack (30 GF) and home setting keep this tight, making a 1-1 stalemate the most likely single scoreline while the probabilities lean toward a Chicago away win.
Chicago Fire enter as the stronger side based on form, standings, and attacking output, but the Red Bulls' youthful energy and home advantage make them a threat. Key absences for Chicago and their recent travel could level the playing field, increasing the likelihood of a tightly contested match.
Chicago Fire enter on a six-game winning streak and have surged to third in the East, while New York have won just once in five matches since the World Cup break and were beaten at home by Nashville midweek; the Red Bulls did beat Chicago 3-1 earlier this season, but the Fire's current momentum and superior form make them the clear favorites.
Chicago are the clearly stronger side — better points-per-game (4th in the East with games in hand), a +9 goal difference built on the conference's co-best scorer Cuypers (13 goals) and a defense conceding just ~1.35 per game — while the Red Bulls own the East's leakiest back line (41 conceded, -11 GD) with a young, inconsistent squad. Home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium keeps RBNY live, but the underlying quality gap makes an away win the most likely outcome, with 1-2 the modal scoreline and the draw still a meaningful ~22% possibility.
Chicago Fire's superior defensive record (23 GA vs 41) and recent road form (4 pts from 2) outweigh New York's home advantage, though Red Bulls' youthful attack under Bradley keeps draw probability significant.
Chicago’s stronger goal difference and more reliable defense give them the edge, with Hugo Cuypers providing an in-form scoring threat. New York’s home advantage keeps the match competitive, but their 41 goals conceded make an away win most likely.
Chicago Fire sit 4th in the East with a +9 goal difference and the league's joint-top scorer Hugo Cuypers (13 goals), while NY Red Bulls rank 8th with a leaky defense conceding 41 goals in 19 matches. Despite the away disadvantage, Chicago's superior defensive solidity (23 GA) and attacking firepower should edge a tight contest at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Chicago sit higher with a superior attack and far better defensive record plus games in hand, while Red Bulls concede heavily; away win edges it at a mid-table home side, with 1-2 the likeliest narrow scoreline.
Chicago Fire are in superb form with three straight MLS wins and a perfect Leagues Cup campaign, boosted by Robert Lewandowski's arrival (3 goals in 5 MLS games), while the Red Bulls have lost four of five since the World Cup pause and concede heavily (41 GA in 19 games, GD -11). Despite home advantage at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Chicago's superior quality and momentum should prevail.
Chicago enters on a five-game winning streak across all competitions with three straight MLS victories, while NYRB has lost four of their last five league matches and owns the conference's third-worst defensive record (41 GA in 19 games). The Fire's superior attack (Cuypers, Zinckernagel, Lewandowski) should exploit a leaky Red Bulls defense, though NYRB's home advantage, Chicago's quick turnaround from Orlando, and a looming Leagues Cup quarterfinal temper the away edge.
New York Red BullsChicago Fire