New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union AI Predictions — MLS

Regular Season - 19·16 Aug · 22:00 UTC·Yankee Stadium·✓ Completed
New York City FC flagNew York City FC
23
Philadelphia Union flagPhiladelphia Union

AI consensus

Consensus pick
New York City FC
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
2-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 94% · D 6% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
New York City FC2.39
Draw3.73
Philadelphia Union2.84

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
53%25%22%2-1✗ miss
44%27%29%1-1✗ miss
58%24%18%2-1✗ miss
50%26%24%2-1✗ miss
53%25%22%2-1✗ miss
45%28%27%1-1✗ miss
51%26%23%2-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
52%25%23%2-1✗ miss
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
58%23%19%2-1✗ miss
53%26%21%2-1✗ miss
30%35%35%2-2✗ miss
54%25%21%2-1✗ miss
48%26%26%2-1✗ miss
48%27%25%2-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
42%27%31%1-1✗ miss
56%25%19%2-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME2-1
H 53% · D 25% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 27% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME2-1
H 58% · D 24% · A 18%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.5 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 50% · D 26% · A 24%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME2-1
H 53% · D 25% · A 22%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 45% · D 28% · A 27%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME2-1
H 51% · D 26% · A 23%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME2-1
H 52% · D 25% · A 23%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 58% · D 23% · A 19%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME2-1
H 53% · D 26% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW2-2
H 30% · D 35% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME2-1
H 54% · D 25% · A 21%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 26% · A 26%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME2-1
H 48% · D 27% · A 25%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 56% · D 25% · A 19%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
This page records every AI model's prediction for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 19). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union played?
The match kicked off 16 Aug · 22:00 UTC at Yankee Stadium. It is part of the Major League Soccer on footballarena.ai's Major League Soccer hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
No. The AI consensus picked New York City FC, but the match finished 2–3 — Philadelphia Union. 94% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Of 17 models: 94% picked New York City FC, 6% a draw, and 0% Philadelphia Union. The consensus pick was New York City FC; the most-backed exact score was 2-1.
What were the betting odds for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): New York City FC 2.39 · Draw 3.73 · Philadelphia Union 2.84. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.