New York City FC
New England Revolution| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H47%D28%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H35%D33%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
NYCFC are far stronger at Yankee Stadium and face a Revolution side whose fine record is built almost entirely at Gillette (8-2-1 at home versus a poor road return of one win), so the hosts should edge a tight rematch of the 1-1 draw in Foxborough; NYCFC's recent run of stalemates keeps the draw well above baseline.
NYCFC are winless in six (0-2-4) but just held East-leaders Nashville to a 0-0 draw, while New England have improved on the road (won 2 of last 3) yet haven't won at NYCFC since 2021. The season's first meeting ended 1-1, and with NYCFC's three-game league draw streak, another stalemate is the likeliest outcome.
NYCFC hold home advantage and possess top scorer Nicolás Fernández Mercau in fine form, giving them a slight edge over an evenly matched New England side that drew 1-1 with them in their previous meeting.
Fairly even matchup offsets NYCFC home advantage against New England's stronger points-per-game and tight defense (25 GA in 19), with the Aug 23 1-1 head-to-head and NYCFC's three straight draws pointing to another low-scoring stalemate.
The first meeting between these sides three weeks ago ended 1-1 at Gillette, and NYCFC entered that run on a three-game draw streak, signaling an evenly matched, low-scoring rivalry. NYCFC has home advantage but the Revs are the stronger conference side (3rd vs 7th) with the league's stingiest defense, while NYCFC's tendency to draw keeps the away win probability modest.
New York City FC enters the match on a three-game draw streak and has been strong defensively, while New England Revolution, despite their home form, have shown vulnerability away and recent draws against NYCFC suggest a tightly contested match.
New England are the stronger side overall but have been poor on the road (1-1-6 away versus 8-2-1 at home), while NYCFC arrive on a three-game draw streak and the first meeting this season finished 1-1 — all pointing to a tight contest with the draw very live at Yankee Stadium.
New England Revolution sit third in the East with a strong 10-3-4 conference record and the league's fifth-best defense, while NYCFC have gone six weeks without a win and drawn three straight. The sides drew 1-1 at Gillette in August, and historical H2H is evenly split; Revolution's superior form makes them slight favorites on the road, but NYCFC's home atmosphere and draw streak point to another tight, low-scoring stalemate.
The teams are closely matched, with New England's slight overall edge offset by NYCFC's home advantage. Both have relatively solid defensive records, while their recent 1-1 meeting supports another tight draw.
NYCFC are winless in five MLS matches and struggling with injuries, but they hold a historical edge over New England at home (last meeting at NYC: 2-1) and just posted a resilient 0-0 draw vs. league-leader Nashville. New England are the stronger side on the table and have been solid defensively, but they are mid-road-trip and their away record vs. NYCFC (4-8-3) is poor, making a tight, low-scoring rematch of the 1-1 at Gillette the most likely outcome.
NYCFC are winless in six (three straight draws including 0-0 vs Nashville) but solid at home defensively, while stronger NE (higher table, recent road wins) have not won away here since 2021 and just lost at LA; recent 1-1 H2H and mutual mid-table congestion favor another tight stalemate.
New England's away record is dire (1W-1D-6L based on their strong 8-2-1 home split), while NYCFC's draw streak and home advantage suggest a close contest the hosts edge. The first meeting ended 1-1, pointing to another tight game that NYCFC should narrowly win at Yankee Stadium.
NYCFC's strong home defense (24 GA in 18 games) and a current three-match draw streak suggest a tight contest, while New England's slight edge in the standings is offset by being on the road — the teams already drew 1-1 earlier this season, making a similarly close result likely.
New York City FCNew England Revolution