New York City FC
Nashville SC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H27%D27%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H31%D26%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H27%D27%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–1 | H25%D27%A48% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Nashville are the league's most complete side — a stingy defence (fewest goals conceded) plus Surridge's scoring, and they arrive on a four-match winning run, so they edge the head-to-head projection. NYCFC are solid but middling at home and low-scoring by comparison, which points to a tight, low-total game where a draw is a very live outcome.
Nashville SC's league-best defensive record and strong attack make them the likeliest winner despite the road trip, while NYCFC's lengthy injury list weakens their home advantage. A healthy draw probability reflects NYCFC's solid home H2H record and Nashville's occasional low-scoring away results.
Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC enter in stellar form with the league's best defense having conceded just 15 goals in 19 games. While NYCFC's compact home pitch at Yankee Stadium is notoriously difficult for visitors, Nashville's tactical discipline and in-form attack give them a slight edge.
Nashville's league-leading defense (15 GA in 19) and four straight wins make them narrow favorites even away, but NYCFC's unbeaten home record vs Nashville and current three-game unbeaten run point to a tight, low-scoring game.
Nashville SC sit atop the entire MLS standings with the league's stingiest defense (15 GA in 19 games) and arrive on a four-match winning streak pursuing a season sweep, while NYCFC are a mid-table side unbeaten in three but with a far weaker defensive record. Despite NYCFC's historical home resilience against Nashville, the visitors' elite defense and dominant form make them slight favorites in a tight, low-scoring contest.
Nashville SC's strong away form, defensive solidity, and recent four-match winning streak make them favorites, but New York City FC's unbeaten home record against Nashville and tactical familiarity with their false 9 system suggest a tightly contested match with a slight edge to the visitors.
Nashville are the class of the East (43 pts, +24 GD, league-best 15 goals conceded) and arrive on a four-game winning streak, making them slight favorites even on the road. However, Yankee Stadium is a genuinely tough trip — NYCFC are unbeaten in three, historically unbeaten at home vs Nashville, and their tight pitch plus N. Fernández Mercau's 13 goals keep a home result or draw very live.
Nashville SC leads the Eastern Conference with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19) and a four-match winning streak, but NYCFC is unbeaten in three and historically resilient at Yankee Stadium versus Nashville, conceding one goal or fewer in all three prior home meetings.
Nashville combine the league’s strongest defensive record with a four-match winning run, giving them the edge despite NYCFC’s solid home history in this matchup. NYCFC’s respectable defensive numbers keep the draw and a narrow home win plausible.
Nashville SC's league-best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and four-game winning streak make them clear favorites on the road, but NYCFC's historical home dominance in this fixture and the scoring threat of Fernández Mercau (13 goals) keep the match competitive and likely low-scoring.
Nashville lead the East with a league-best defense (15 GA) and superior points-per-game record, outweighing NYCFC's home edge and solid GD; away win is most likely given the gap in quality and Nashville's road resilience.
Nashville SC are the league's dominant force (43 pts, W13 D4 L2, best defense at 0.79 GA/game) and are riding a 4-game winning streak with excellent away form (W4 D2 L1). NYCFC have historically been unbeaten at home vs Nashville and possess a dangerous attack led by Fernández Mercau (13 goals), but their inconsistent form and Nashville's elite defensive solidity tip the balance toward the visitors in a close contest.
Nashville SC sit atop the East with a league-best defensive record (15 goals conceded in 19 matches) and are riding a four-game winning streak, making them clear favourites despite NYCFC's home advantage and unbeaten run of three. Nashville's defensive solidity makes a narrow 1-0 away win the most likely scoreline.
New York City FCNashville SC