New York City FC
Los Angeles FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H27%D32%A41% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Missed | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D27%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H28%D30%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Missed | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H25%D38%A37% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H27%D33%A40% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
LAFC are the stronger side overall with the league's tightest defense and just snapped a winless run by beating Austin 3-1, while NYCFC are mired in a five-game winless stretch with a mediocre home record (4-6-4). Both teams draw frequently and LAFC's road form (3-6-6) is unspectacular, so a low-scoring stalemate is a very live outcome with a slight lean to the visitors.
NYCFC's five-game winless run and poor Citi Field form offset their home advantage, while LAFC have more attacking quality and momentum from Son and Bouanga; LAFC's weak road record, however, keeps the draw probability high.
NYCFC look to halt a five-match winless slide at Citi Field, but they face a formidable LAFC attack led by Son Heung-Min and Denis Bouanga. With both sides evenly matched on neutral metrics and possessing dangerous top scorers, a hard-fought score draw is the most probable outcome.
LAFC's superior overall record (34pts, +15 GD, 1.0 GA/game) and momentum from ending a 4-game winless run with Bouanga's brace outweigh NYCFC's 5-game winless slide, but LAFC's modest 3-6-6 road record and NYCFC's home advantage at Citi Field keep it close.
LAFC has the superior overall record and squad (Son Heung-Min, a resurgent Bouanga after his brace vs Austin), but their poor road form (3-6-6) and NYCFC's mediocre home form (4-6-4) plus a five-game winless streak for the hosts make this tight, with a generous draw probability. LAFC's strong record when scoring 2+ goals (34-1-7) and fresh attacking momentum tip the balance to a narrow away win.
Both teams are struggling for consistency—NYCFC on a five-game winless streak and LAFC with a recent upturn but poor away form. Their attacking strengths (NYCFC's Fernández Mercau and LAFC's Son Heung-Min) and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tightly contested match with a slight edge to a draw.
LAFC are the stronger side overall but are poor on the road (3-6-6), on short rest after Thursday's win over Austin, and facing a cross-country trip, which blunts their edge. NYCFC are winless in five and over-reliant on Fernández Mercau, so a tight, draw-heavy contest at Citi Field looks most likely.
LAFC holds a clear edge in overall quality and goal difference (+15 vs +7) and just snapped a four-match winless streak with a 3-1 win, but their 3-6-6 road record and NYCFC's decent 4-6-4 home form keep the draw probability high and limit the away win likelihood.
LAFC have the stronger overall profile and a notably better goal difference, but NYCFC's solid defensive record and home advantage narrow the gap. A low-scoring draw is the likeliest exact scoreline, with LAFC slightly more likely to win overall.
LAFC holds a clear edge in quality (34 pts, +15 GD, league-best 20 GA) and just snapped a four-game winless run, but their away record (3-6-6) is draw-heavy, mirroring NYCFC's home record (4-6-4). Both sides boast strong defenses and are coming off poor offensive runs, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is highly plausible but LAFC's superior squad depth gives them a slight edge.
LAFC sit higher with superior GD and attack (Son influence) despite mediocre road record, while NYCFC host amid a five-game winless skid and fading form; slight away edge expected in an open non-conference match, with draw still very plausible.
NYCFC's home record is poor (4W-4D-6L) and they're on a four-game winless streak, while LAFC has more quality with Son Heung-min and Bouanga but struggles badly on the road (3W-6D-6L away), making a draw the most likely outcome. Both teams' records are heavily draw-laden in these home/away splits, and LAFC's recent momentum from beating Austin 3-1 may only be enough for a point at Citi Field.
LAFC are the clearly superior side (34 pts, +15 GD, just snapped their slump with a 3-1 win) but their road record shows six draws in 15 away matches, while NYCFC's home form is mediocre and they sit on a five-game winless streak. LAFC's defensive solidity (20 GA in 20 games) and Bouanga's form give them the edge, but the high draw tendency on both sides keeps this close.
New York City FCLos Angeles FC