New England Revolution
Chicago Fire| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H41%D26%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H41%D28%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D26%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H37%D26%A37% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
New England's strong home record and momentum from the midweek win at Cincinnati offset Chicago's superior goal difference and Cuypers/Zinckernagel's productive attack, but the Revs face third-game-in-a-week fatigue against an efficient visiting side. Evenly matched sides with a long history of draws in this fixture points to a tight, low-margin game.
Two closely matched Eastern Conference playoff sides; New England have home advantage and won the September meeting 2-1, but Chicago need only a point and both teams are on short rest with key absences, making a draw a strong possibility.
Both sides sit tightly matched near the top of the Eastern Conference, but New England carry home advantage and strong momentum at Gillette Stadium to edge Chicago's potent attack led by Hugo Cuypers.
New England's home advantage and momentum from clinching playoffs with a 3-2 win at Cincinnati balances Chicago's slightly better points-per-game and Cuypers-led attack (13 goals), with a very even H2H (14-13-14) pointing to a narrow home win rather than a comfortable one.
New England and Chicago sit just one point apart in the Eastern Conference (3rd vs 4th), reflecting near-parity in quality. Chicago carries a marginally better points-per-game rate and the hotter recent form (per research notes), while New England holds a solid home unbeaten streak and the historical H2H edge (14-13-14). With two well-matched playoff contenders and a draw-heavy H2H record, a 1-1 stalemate is the most plausible single scoreline, though either side's narrow win is a close second.
Chicago has been slightly stronger per game (better points-per-game and goal difference, with Cuypers on 13 goals), but New England holds home advantage at Gillette and arrives with momentum after clinching a playoff spot midweek. The head-to-head is historically dead-even (14-13-14) with an unusually high draw rate, so the draw gets an honest bump even as I lean to a narrow home win.
New England's strong home record (11-game unbeaten run in 2025) and third-place standing meet Chicago's potent attack (Cuypers 13 goals) and slightly superior goal difference; the historically even H2H (14-14-14) and tight points gap suggest a close, high-scoring home win.
New England’s home advantage and confidence from the reported midweek win narrowly offset Chicago’s stronger scoring rate and defensive record. With the teams closely matched, a draw remains a substantial possibility.
New England (3rd, 30 pts) and Chicago (4th, 29 pts) are separated by a single point in a tightly contested Eastern Conference, with nearly identical records and Chicago holding a marginal edge in underlying stats (better GD, more goals scored in fewer games). Home advantage gives the Revolution a slight lift, but the even H2H history (14-13-14) and comparable quality point to a cagey, low-scoring affair where a draw is highly probable.
New England sit just above Chicago with a game in hand disadvantage for the visitors but strong home edge expected; Cuypers leads Chicago attack while Revs' balanced GD and historical H2H parity support a tight home win as most likely.
These teams are separated by just one point in the Eastern Conference standings and their last five H2H meetings are split 2-2-1, making this an extremely tight contest. New England's recent 0-3 home loss to Seattle tempers their home advantage, while Chicago arrive highly motivated to clinch a playoff berth, pointing toward a competitive draw.
New England's home advantage at Gillette Stadium balances Chicago's superior per-game metrics (1.71 ppg vs 1.58, +9 GD vs +4) and stronger attack (1.88 goals/game vs 1.53). The H2H is remarkably even (14-14-13), and Chicago's low draw tendency (2 in 17) suggests a decisive result, with home edge giving New England a slight nod.
New England RevolutionChicago Fire