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Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — predictions and result

Nashville SC
90-minute result2–0
Toronto FC
Regular Season - 27Geodis Park

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H66%D21%A13%
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H65%D24%A11%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H63%D23%A14%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H62%D22%A16%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H60%D22%A18%
CorrectExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H63%D23%A14%
CorrectExact
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–0
H70%D20%A10%
CorrectExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D28%A20%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Nashville are the East's runaway leaders with the conference's best defence (15 GA) and Surridge/Mukhtar firing at Geodis Park, while Toronto are a mid-table side with a negative goal difference, a draw-heavy profile and multiple defensive absences. Toronto's compactness makes a low-scoring game plausible, but a comfortable home win is the clear expectation.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Nashville SC are strong at home with elite defensive numbers and face a short-handed Toronto FC missing much of its back line; Toronto's draw-heavy profile keeps a draw possible, but Nashville's control should produce a home win.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC possess the league's stingiest defense and an elite attack led by Sam Surridge and Hany Mukhtar. Facing a depleted Toronto side struggling near the bottom of the table, the hosts should comfortably control the match at GEODIS Park.

Muse Spark 1.2

Nashville lead the East with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19) and prime form including a 3-0 win over Chicago, while Toronto arrive short-handed missing three-quarters of their back line after back-to-back defeats and sit 12th in the East.

MiniMax M3

Nashville are the Eastern Conference leaders with the best defense in MLS (15 GA in 19 games, +24 GD) and dominant recent form (2W-1D-1L in last four, including a 3-0 win over Chicago). Toronto sit 12th, are reportedly short-handed defensively, and have lost back-to-back matches, making a clean-sheet home win the most likely outcome at Geodis Park.

Mistral Large 3

Nashville SC's strong defensive form, attacking firepower (led by Surridge and Mukhtar), and Toronto FC's defensive vulnerabilities due to injuries tilt the balance in Nashville's favor, though Toronto's home advantage and tactical resilience make a draw plausible.

Kimi K3

Nashville leads the East with the league's best defensive record (15 conceded in 19) and is in prime form pushing for the Supporters' Shield, while Toronto arrives short-handed with most of its back line missing after back-to-back defeats. Toronto's eight draws this season keep the draw honest, but Nashville's home edge and defensive solidity make a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Nashville SC sit top of the Eastern Conference with the league's best defence (15 GA in 19 games) and are in prime form at Geodis Park, most recently beating Chicago Fire 3-0. Toronto FC are missing three-quarters of their starting back line, have lost back-to-back matches, and sit 12th with the conference's second-worst defence, making a comfortable home win the overwhelmingly likely outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Nashville combine the league’s strongest defensive record with a potent attack, while Toronto have struggled for wins and concede regularly. Home advantage and Nashville’s superior form profile point to a controlled victory.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Nashville SC, the Eastern Conference leaders with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games), host a Toronto FC side missing three-quarters of its back line and riding back-to-back defeats. Nashville's elite defensive structure under Callaghan combined with Toronto's severely depleted defense at Geodis Park should give the home side comfortable control, though Toronto's tendency to draw (8 in 19) keeps the draw probability meaningful.

Grok 4.5

Nashville lead the East with elite defense (15 GA) and strong attack while Toronto sit 12th with a leaky back line further depleted by absences; home form and Shield chase make a clean-sheet win the clearest outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Nashville SC are the Eastern Conference leaders with the league's best defensive record (15 GA) and a potent attack (39 GF), while Toronto FC sit 12th with a depleted backline and have drawn four of their last six matches, making a narrow Nashville home win the most likely outcome despite Toronto's recent resilience.

GLM-5.2

Nashville sit atop the East with the league's best defense (15 GA in 19 games) and are riding momentum from a 3-0 win over Chicago, while Toronto are missing three-quarters of their back line and sit 12th with a negative goal difference. Nashville's home advantage and title-chasing motivation make them strong favorites, though Toronto's eight draws this season keep the draw probability non-trivial.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeNashville SC
1.45
DrawLevel at 90′
5.07
AwayToronto FC
6.25