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Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City — predictions and result

Nashville SC
90-minute result4–0
Sporting Kansas City
Regular Season - 29Geodis Park

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–0
H72%D17%A11%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H70%D19%A11%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–0
H72%D18%A10%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H76%D15%A9%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H65%D20%A15%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H72%D17%A11%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H60%D25%A15%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–0
H76%D15%A9%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–0
H65%D20%A15%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–0
H72%D17%A11%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai3–0
H76%D16%A8%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Nashville are the league's form side at a fortress in GEODIS Park with the East's best defense (15 GA) and Surridge/Mukhtar firing, while Sporting KC own by far the worst goal difference in MLS and have conceded 48 goals. A home win by a couple of goals is the clear expectation, with only a modest chance of SKC's recent uptick producing a result.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Nashville SC have the league's best defensive record and a dominant home edge, while Sporting Kansas City sit last overall and have conceded heavily all season. Nashville's superiority at both ends makes a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Supporters' Shield contenders Nashville SC boast the league's stingiest defense and an in-form attack led by Sam Surridge, while basement-dwellers Sporting KC have conceded a league-worst 48 goals in 19 games.

Muse Spark 1.2

Nashville's league-best defense and Supporters' Shield-leading form at Geodis Park faces a Sporting KC side with the league's worst goal difference and porous away defense, making a home win and clean sheet the most likely outcome despite KC's recent 3-3 scoring burst.

MiniMax M3

Nashville SC sit top of MLS with the league's stingiest defense (15 GA in 19) and an elite +24 GD, pushing for the Supporters' Shield at home, while Sporting Kansas City are dead last in the West with a -30 GD and have conceded 48 goals in 19 games; the quality gap is enormous and Geodis Park has been a fortress, making a comfortable home clean sheet the most plausible outcome.

Mistral Large 3

Nashville SC's dominant home form, superior defensive record, and high-scoring attack (led by Sam Surridge) make them clear favorites against a Sporting Kansas City side struggling with defensive consistency and recent poor away form. The gap in quality and motivation (Nashville pushing for the Supporters' Shield) further tilts the odds in their favor.

Kimi K3

Nashville are the league's best side (top of the East, +24 GD, league-best 15 goals conceded) and are dominant at Geodis Park, where a win clinches their playoff spot; Sporting KC sit bottom of the West with the league's worst defense (48 conceded, -30 GD) and have consistently leaked goals on the road.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Nashville SC leads the Eastern Conference with the league's best defensive record and strong home form at Geodis Park, while Sporting Kansas City has the worst goal differential in MLS and struggles defensively on the road.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Nashville combine the league’s strongest defensive record with a potent attack, while Sporting Kansas City have scored the fewest and conceded the most goals. Home advantage and no confirmed Nashville absences make a controlled multi-goal victory the likeliest outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Nashville SC leads the league with 43 points and boasts the best defense in MLS (15 goals conceded in 19 games), while Sporting KC sits dead last with just 14 points and a -30 goal difference. At a formidable Geodis Park, Nashville's defensive solidity and attacking quality (2.05 goals/game) should overwhelm a SKC side that concedes 2.53 goals per game, making a comfortable home win with a clean sheet the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Nashville lead the East with the league's best defense and attack balance while SKC sit bottom of the West with the worst goal difference and leaky back line; Geodis Park further tilts a clear home win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Nashville SC are the league's best team (43 pts, +24 GD) hosting the worst (Sporting KC, 14 pts, -30 GD) at Geodis Park, a fortress where their elite defense (0.79 GA/game) should comfortably contain SKC's toothless attack (0.95 GF/game). The quality gap is enormous, though MLS variance and SKC's recent 1-0 away win at Minnesota suggest a small upset possibility.

GLM-5.2

Nashville SC sit top of the East with the league's best defense (15 conceded in 19) and are pushing for the Supporters' Shield at home, while Sporting KC are dead last with a league-worst -30 goal difference and 48 goals conceded. The gulf in class at GEODIS Park points to a comfortable Nashville win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeNashville SC
1.23
DrawLevel at 90′
7.49
AwaySporting Kansas City
10.79