Minnesota United FC
St. Louis City| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H41%D29%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D38%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H35%D31%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H23%D27%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two defensively solid, low-scoring sides meet: Minnesota's home record and need for points offset St. Louis CITY's superior recent form and unbeaten run, and both teams average well under 1.5 goals per game. A tight, cagey 1-1 is the most likely single outcome with the draw probability elevated.
St. Louis City enter on an MLS-record unbeaten run and are the more in-form, higher-quality side, while Minnesota need points at home but have been leakier defensively; an away edge is likely with draw risk.
Minnesota United hold solid home advantage at Allianz Field but have struggled for consistent scoring, making a tightly contested draw against an organized St. Louis City side the most probable outcome.
St. Louis arrive as MLS's most in-form side on an unbeaten streak and sit four points clear of Minnesota (29 vs 25 pts) with superior goal difference, while Minnesota's low output (21 goals in 19) limits home advantage at Allianz Field to a tight, low-scoring away lean.
Minnesota have a notably high draw rate (7 of 19, ~37%) and strong home form at Allianz Field, but they are the lowest-scoring side in this matchup with only 21 goals in 19 games. St. Louis City sit higher in the standings (5th, 29 pts vs 9th, 25 pts) and are described as MLS's most in-form side with an active unbeaten streak, but they are playing away. The combination of Minnesota's draw tendency, low-scoring profile, and St. Louis's quality makes a 1-1 stalemate the single most likely outcome.
Minnesota United are in a must-win situation for postseason hopes and boast strong home form, while St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last five matches but have struggled defensively in recent away games. The draw is a genuine possibility given both teams' recent form and the tight Western Conference standings.
St. Louis (29 pts, 5th West) arrives as MLS's most in-form side on an unbeaten streak, slightly edging a draw-prone Minnesota side (7 draws in 19) that struggles to score (21 GF) despite home advantage at Allianz Field. Both teams are low-scoring and defensively comparable, making a tight match likely with 1-1 the single most probable scoreline even as St. Louis holds a modest edge.
St. Louis City arrive on a historic 21-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, having just clinched a playoff berth, while Minnesota United are winless in eight straight matches. St. Louis have scored in all of their last eight away games, and the last five head-to-head meetings have averaged over 2.5 goals, with St. Louis winning the most recent encounter 4-2.
St. Louis have the stronger season record and arrive on an unbeaten run, but Minnesota's home advantage narrows the gap. Minnesota's draw-heavy profile and both teams' modest scoring rates make a close, level match most plausible.
St. Louis City enters as the league's most in-form side with an unbeaten streak and sits 4 points clear of Minnesota in the Western Conference standings, giving them a quality and momentum edge. However, Minnesota's solid home record and low-scoring but organized defensive setup (26 GA in 19) keeps this tight, making a narrow away win the single most likely outcome in what should be a low-scoring affair.
St. Louis ride a record 21-game unbeaten streak (19 in league) and sit near the top of the West with elite recent scoring form, while Minnesota sit 13th with just two home wins all season and a leaky defense despite Yeboah's hot streak. The visitors' quality and momentum make an away win the clearest outcome even at Allianz Field.
St. Louis are on a historic 21-game unbeaten run with 16 goals in their last 5 matches and comfortably dispatched Minnesota 4-2 in the reverse fixture; Minnesota's D-D-L-L-L form and leaky defense make an upset unlikely despite Yeboah's individual brilliance and home desperation.
St. Louis City sit four points clear of Minnesota in the tight Western Conference and are described as MLS's most in-form side on an unbeaten streak, but Minnesota's strong home record at Allianz Field and desperation for points keep this competitive. The Loons' low-scoring profile (21 GF in 19) against St. Louis's more potent attack (27 GF) tips the edge to the visitors, though home advantage narrows the gap.
Minnesota United FCSt. Louis City