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Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — predictions and result

Minnesota United FC
90-minute result2–2
Houston Dynamo
Regular Season - 28Allianz Field

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D29%A32%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H26%D31%A43%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H36%D28%A36%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–0
H40%D27%A33%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H38%D30%A32%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–1
H33%D27%A40%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H30%D28%A42%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H34%D29%A37%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H28%D28%A44%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H32%D28%A40%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H30%D30%A40%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H27%D31%A42%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two of the league's lowest-volume attacks meet in a game that profiles as tight and low-scoring: Minnesota average barely a goal a game but are stubborn at Allianz Field, while Houston's strong points tally is built on a compact defense rather than firepower. Home advantage nudges the Loons ahead, but a 1-1 draw is the single most likely scoreline.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Houston are the stronger side and Minnesota enter in poor form, but the Loons' desperation at home plus Houston's modest road record and Herrera's suspension keep a draw very plausible. A narrow away win is the single most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Western Conference leaders Houston have displayed sharp attacking efficiency led by Guilherme, but Minnesota's stubborn defensive setup and strong home record at Allianz Field make this a tightly contested encounter likely to end level.

Muse Spark 1.2

Minnesota's extended unbeaten run at Allianz Field and recent 1-0 win over Houston gives them a home edge despite Houston topping the West, while both attacks are low-output this season pointing to a tight, low-scoring game.

MiniMax M3

Houston sits2nd in the West with 35 points vs Minnesota's 9th-place 25 points, but Minnesota's home advantage at Allianz Field (where they recently beat Houston 1-0) and Houston's modest road form narrow the gap. Both teams have relatively low-scoring tendencies (Minnesota 21 GF, Houston 28 GF in 19 games) and tight defenses, making a 1-1 stalemate the most plausible single scoreline.

Kimi K3

Houston leads the West and has the better season, but their modest +4 goal difference shows they win tight games rather than dominate; Minnesota is a low-scoring, draw-heavy side (7 draws in 19) whose home edge largely cancels Houston's quality gap. Expect a cagey, low-event match where Houston is slight favorite to edge it, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Houston leads the Western Conference but travels to Allianz Field missing two leading goal creators; Minnesota beat them 1-0 at home recently and holds a six-match home unbeaten streak, though the Loons are on a five-game overall winless run and rank 11th in the West.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Houston’s stronger season record gives them a narrow overall edge, but their modest goal difference and Minnesota’s home advantage make this close. Both teams have relatively low scoring rates, increasing the likelihood of a tight draw.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Houston Dynamo sit atop the Western Conference with a strong defensive record (24 GA) and superior attacking output, making them clear favorites even on the road. However, Minnesota United have been difficult to beat at Allianz Field and draw frequently (7 draws in 19 games), suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair where the visitors' quality is tempered by the home side's resilience.

Grok 4.5

Houston lead the West with superior win rate and attack while Minnesota sit mid-table with the conference's lowest scoring output; home advantage and Minnesota's draw-heavy profile keep the contest tight, making a low-scoring draw the single most probable scoreline.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Houston Dynamo sit top of the Western Conference with a strong 11W-2D-6L record and solid defensive numbers (24 GA), while Minnesota United are 9th with the fewest goals scored in the conference (21 GF in 19 games). However, Minnesota's league-high 7 draws in 19 matches and home-field advantage at Allianz Field suggest this stays tight, with a draw the single most likely scoreline despite Houston's overall superiority.

GLM-5.2

Houston sit top of the West with 35 points and a superior goal difference (+4 vs -5), making them the stronger side, but Minnesota's exceptionally high draw rate (7 in 19 games) and home advantage suggest a tight, low-scoring affair where a stalemate is a strong possibility.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeMinnesota United FC
2.12
DrawLevel at 90′
3.58
AwayHouston Dynamo
3.54