Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H39%D28%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D34%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H36%D27%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Minnesota's home advantage at Allianz Field offsets a blunt attack (just 21 goals in 19 games), while Dallas are the more productive side going forward but average on the road; with the Loons' typically tight, low-scoring games this shapes up as a tight contest where a draw is a very live outcome.
Minnesota's home edge and strong unbeaten run balance FC Dallas's more prolific attack, while both sides have draw-heavy records, making a tight 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Minnesota United have been solid and draw-heavy at home, while FC Dallas possess one of the league's most potent scoring threats in Petar Musa, pointing to a tightly contested stalemate.
Minnesota's seven-game unbeaten run (W-W-W-W-D / D-W-W-D-D) and direct, low-possession attack meets a surging Dallas led by co-top scorer Petar Musa (13 goals); Dallas is undefeated at home but this is at Allianz Field, balancing home edge against Dallas's superior scoring (+7 GD vs -5) toward a tight draw.
Minnesota enters on a strong unbeaten streak and holds home advantage at Allianz Field, but FC Dallas sits higher in the West with superior goal-scoring output (P. Musa, 13 goals) and an undefeated home record this season. Both sides are in good form, with Minnesota's direct counter-attacking style and Dallas's firepower pointing toward a tight, low-scoring contest where a share of the spoils is the most likely single outcome.
Both teams are in strong form, with Minnesota United on a seven-game unbeaten streak and FC Dallas undefeated at home this season. Minnesota's direct, potent attack contrasts with Dallas's dynamic frontline and home support, making this a finely balanced fixture where a draw is highly plausible, but Minnesota's slight edge in recent form and attacking prowess tips the scales marginally in their favor.
Minnesota's profile is extremely draw-heavy (7 draws in 19) with a solid defense but a blunt attack (21 GF), while Dallas sit just above them with a more potent front line led by 13-goal Petar Musa. With home advantage roughly cancelling out Dallas's slight quality edge, a tight, low-scoring game with the draw as a live single most likely outcome is expected.
Minnesota are desperate at home (1 win in 12 MLS games) but beat Dallas 1-0 here in April; Dallas are rotating heavily after a 9-game road trip and emotional weekend win, with top scorer Petar Musa (13 goals) likely rested for a shoulder injury. Both sides have defensive frailties — Minnesota conceded 8 in two games, Dallas miss key attackers — making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Dallas have shown the stronger attacking output and overall goal difference, but Minnesota's home advantage and draw-heavy record should keep this close. A balanced 1-1 is the likeliest scoreline, with Dallas marginally more likely to win if the match is decisive.
Minnesota United enjoys home advantage at Allianz Field and rides strong recent form (W-W-W-W-D), but their season-long attack (21 GF in 19) is modest. FC Dallas boasts Petar Musa (13 goals, joint-top scorer) and superior offensive output (32 GF in 18), making them dangerous on the counter. Both sides are evenly matched in quality, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair.
Dallas sit higher with superior attack and GD despite travel/rotation and Musa doubt; Minnesota desperate at home but mired in 1-win-in-12 form with a leaky defense that concedes freely in open games.
Minnesota's eight-match home winless streak and leaky defense (9 goals conceded in last 3 games) make them hard to back, but FC Dallas will likely be without top scorer Petar Musa (shoulder injury) and face rotation after a grueling nine-game road stretch, blunting their attack enough to level the contest.
Minnesota is on a seven-game undefeated streak and has home advantage, but FC Dallas boasts a superior goal difference (+7 vs -5) and a more potent attack (32 GF vs 21 GF). Minnesota's direct, low-possession style and solid recent form should keep this tight, favoring a closely contested draw.
Minnesota United FCFC Dallas