Los Angeles FC
New York Red Bulls| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H57%D24%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H56%D23%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H57%D25%A18% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H57%D24%A19% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H60%D23%A17% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H61%D23%A16% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
LAFC are a strong home side with the best defensive record in the West (20 conceded in 20) and Son's creativity driving a solid attack, while the Red Bulls are winless in five, leaky (41 goals against) and modest on the road. A tight, low-scoring LAFC win is likeliest, though their recent run of draws keeps the level-after-90 outcome very much in play.
LAFC's stout defense (only 20 goals conceded in 20 matches) and dominant home form (4W-1D in last five at BMO Stadium) meet a NYRB side winless in five and shipping 2.16 goals per road game, though the Red Bulls' away draw rate (5 of 11) keeps the draw probability honest.
LAFC boast one of the strongest defensive records in the league and hold home advantage against a Red Bulls side that has struggled for consistency and conceded heavily on the road.
LAFC's league-best defense (20 GA in 20) and formidable home form (4 wins and a draw in last 5 at BMO) contrasts with NY Red Bulls winless in five and poor away defensive record (46 conceded, -14 differential).
LAFC are strong home favorites with superior squad quality (Son Heung-Min in form, +15 GD) against a Red Bulls side that is winless in five, leaking goals (41 GA), and historically poor on the road (3-5-3). The draw is given honest weight given LAFC's recent draw streak, but the Red Bulls' defensive fragility should see LAFC edge it.
Los Angeles FC are in strong home form, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches at BMO Stadium, while New York Red Bulls are winless in five and struggle defensively on the road (3-5-3 record). LAFC's attacking prowess and home advantage tilt the balance in their favor, though a draw remains a realistic possibility given their recent draw streak and the Red Bulls' resilience in some away games.
LAFC are far stronger defensively (20 GA in 20 vs RBNY's 41 in 19), sit 9 points clear with home advantage at BMO Stadium, and face a Red Bulls side winless in five with a losing road record. LAFC's recent draw streak and RBNY's ability to grind out low-scoring results (0-0 vs Seattle) keep the draw live, but the quality gap favors a home win.
LAFC's strong home form (W4-D1 in last 5) and superior goal difference (+15 vs -11) favor the hosts, but their recent draw streak and NYRB's respectable head-to-head record (W2-D2-L1 in last 5) keep the draw probability elevated. NYRB's poor road form (3-5-3) and leaky defense (41 GA) suggest a narrow home win is most likely.
LAFC combine strong overall form and a +15 goal difference with home advantage, while the Red Bulls have struggled defensively and enter winless in five. LAFC’s league-leading defensive profile also makes a controlled home victory the likeliest outcome.
LAFC's formidable home form (4W-1D in last five at BMO Stadium) and elite defense (just 20 goals conceded in 20 matches) should neutralize a Red Bulls side that is winless in five, poor on the road (3-5-3), and leaking goals at over 2 per game away from home.
LAFC sit third in the West with a stout +15 GD and strong home record, while the Red Bulls are mid-table East with a -11 GD, poor road form (3-5-3), and recent winless run. Home side's superior defense and attack edge should secure a narrow victory.
LAFC's strong home defense (Lloris leading MLS in shutouts) and Son Heung-Min's exceptional form should be enough against a Red Bulls side winless in five and leaking goals on the road, though LAFC's own recent draw streak suggests this won't be a blowout.
LAFC boast a strong +15 goal differential with only 20 goals conceded in 20 matches, while the Red Bulls are winless in five, carry a -11 differential, and have a poor 3-5-3 road record. LAFC's defensive solidity at home against a leaky Red Bulls side points to a comfortable home win.
Los Angeles FCNew York Red Bulls