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Inter Miami vs Toronto FC — predictions and result

Inter Miami
90-minute result1–2
Toronto FC
Regular Season - 21Nu Stadium

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic2–1
H62%D21%A17%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–1
H63%D21%A16%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H60%D24%A16%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle3–1
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle2–1
H64%D22%A14%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–1
H62%D21%A17%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H62%D22%A16%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H58%D24%A18%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H55%D28%A17%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H55%D25%A20%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot2–1
H50%D28%A22%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H63%D21%A16%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H60%D25%A15%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H62%D21%A17%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H50%D26%A24%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H58%D23%A19%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H52%D25%A23%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H52%D26%A22%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Inter Miami's strong attack led by Messi and Suarez should overpower a Toronto side with a leaky defense, though Miami's own vulnerable backline (36 goals conceded) makes a clean sheet unlikely.

Claude Opus 5

Miami's league-leading attack (46 goals, Messi driving it) at home should overwhelm a Toronto side that has drawn eight times and rarely wins away, though Miami's soft defense (36 conceded) makes a clean sheet unlikely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Inter Miami have the stronger squad and elite attacking output, while Toronto FC's draw-heavy record and leaky defence should still concede against Messi and company. Toronto can exploit Miami's vulnerable backline, but Miami are most likely to win at home.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Inter Miami boasts a formidable attack led by Lionel Messi and has the home advantage against a struggling Toronto FC side. Despite a recent dip in form, Miami's offensive firepower should overwhelm a vulnerable Toronto defense.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Inter Miami boasts the most potent attack in the Eastern Conference led by Lionel Messi, though their porous defense frequently keeps matches open. Facing a struggling Toronto FC side with just four wins from 19 games, Miami's superior offensive firepower should carry them to a home victory.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Inter Miami possess the league's most potent attack led by Lionel Messi, and playing at home against a struggling Toronto FC side gives them a clear advantage despite their occasional defensive vulnerabilities.

Gemma 4 31B

Inter Miami possesses superior attacking firepower led by Messi and Suárez, while Toronto FC struggles with a poor defensive record (33 goals conceded) and a low league position. Although Miami has shown some recent vulnerability in defense, their overall quality and home advantage make them strong favorites.

Muse Spark 1.2

Inter Miami's elite home attack (Messi 13 goals, 46 GF) faces a Toronto side conceding ~1.7 per game, but Miami's own vulnerable defence (36 GA) and recent slump point to both teams scoring in a narrow home win.

MiniMax M3

Inter Miami's home attack led by Messi (13G/7A) and Suárez gives them a clear edge, but Toronto's unusual draw tendency (8 of 19 = 42%) keeps the draw probability well above the league average, and Miami's leaky defense (36 GA) and recent slump cap their dominance; Toronto's stingy enough to keep it close but unlikely to win on the road.

Mistral Large 3

Inter Miami's attacking firepower, led by Messi and a vulnerable Toronto defense (33 goals conceded in 20 games), makes them favorites, but Toronto's resilience and Miami's recent slump introduce significant draw potential.

Kimi K2.6

Inter Miami's potent attack (46 goals in 19 games, led by Messi's 13) and home advantage make them favorites against a porous Toronto backline, but Toronto's league-high draw rate and Miami's leaky defense mean a level result or narrow away win remain plausible.

Kimi K3

Inter Miami (2nd East, 46 goals scored, Messi in form with 13 goals and 7 assists) host a Toronto side sitting 12th with a negative goal difference, making the Herons clear favourites at home. However, Miami's leaky defence (36 conceded) and a recent dip in form mean Toronto should create chances, so a 2-1 home win with a meaningful draw probability reflects both Miami's attacking edge and their vulnerability.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Inter Miami's potent attack (46 goals in 19 games, Messi 13 goals) faces a Toronto defense conceding 1.74 goals per game, but Miami's recent slump (1 win in last 5) and defensive frailties elevate draw probability.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Miami’s league-leading attack, driven by Messi, should exploit Toronto’s vulnerable defense and benefit from home advantage. Toronto’s draw-heavy record and Miami’s defensive frailty give the visitors a credible chance to score, but Miami have substantially greater firepower.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Inter Miami possess overwhelming attacking firepower through Messi (13 goals), Suárez, and Berterame against a Toronto defense that has conceded 33 goals in 19 games, but Miami's recent slump (one win in several matches) and their own leaky defense (36 GA) keep this competitive. Toronto's league-high draw rate (8 in 19 games) and ability to exploit Miami's vulnerable backline justify a meaningful draw probability, though Miami's home advantage and quality should ultimately prevail.

Grok 4.5

Inter Miami sit 2nd in the East with superior attack (46 GF, Messi leading scorers) and home advantage against mid-table Toronto (20 pts, leaky defense). Miami's firepower should secure a win despite occasional defensive vulnerability, with 2-1 the likeliest scoreline.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Inter Miami are 2nd in the East with 46 goals scored and Messi in top form (13 goals, 7 assists), but they're on a four-match winless run and have conceded frequently (36 GA). Toronto have been drawing heavily (8 draws in 19 games) and taken points in 5 of their last 6 MLS matches, so Miami's defensive vulnerabilities give Toronto a realistic chance of scoring — but Miami's superior home record against Toronto (6 wins in 7 meetings) and attacking quality should see them edge it.

GLM-5.2

Messi is confirmed available after avoiding suspension, and Miami's home MLS form has been excellent (unbeaten in 4, 13 goals scored), but their leaky defense (36 conceded) and current winless slump, combined with Toronto's 3-match unbeaten run and improved away defending, keep the draw and away probabilities meaningful.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeInter Miami
1.35
DrawLevel at 90′
6.11
AwayToronto FC
7.03