Inter Miami
New York City FC| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H56%D22%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H57%D22%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H56%D23%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H53%D25%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H60%D22%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H53%D24%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 3–1 | H58%D22%A20% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H52%D24%A24% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Inter Miami are far more potent at home with Messi and Segovia driving a league-high scoring output, and they have won the recent head-to-heads, though their porous defense (36 conceded) keeps NYCFC — solid defensively and carrying Fernández Mercau's 13 goals — live for a goal or a point.
Inter Miami are in strong home form and just thrashed DC United 4-0, while NYCFC have one win in their last 12 and travel missing at least six injured players, so a comfortable home win looks most likely despite Miami's recent run of draws.
Inter Miami possess the conference's most prolific attack powered by Lionel Messi, and their strong home form should edge a well-organized NYCFC side that struggles to contain high-caliber offenses.
Inter Miami's elite home attack (46 goals, Messi 13) and three straight wins over NYCFC outweigh NYCFC's tighter defence (24 GA), but NYCFC's joint-top scorer Fernández Mercau keeps it close in a high-scoring home win.
Inter Miami (2nd East, 11W-5D-3L) hold a clear quality advantage over NYCFC (7th East, 7W-5D-6L) and play at home with Messi (13G, 7A) leading the league's joint-top attack. Miami's recent form includes a 4-0 shutout of DC United and they have won the last three head-to-heads, but their leaky defense (36 GA) and NYCFC's sharpshooter Fernández Mercau (13G) keep this competitive, with 2-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Inter Miami are in far stronger form (2nd in the East, +10 GD), just posted a 4-0 shutout, and have won the last three head-to-heads including the 2025 playoff semi-final, with Messi (13G/7A) driving the league's most productive attack at home. However, Miami concede nearly two goals per game, so NYCFC — defensively solid and led by 13-goal Fernández Mercau — keep the draw and away win genuinely live.
Inter Miami enter on a 4-0 win with Messi and Suarez scoring braces, while NYCFC are without six players including Moralez, Magno, Parks and Trewin. Miami have won three of the last five head-to-heads and hold a significant home advantage with playoff positioning at stake.
Inter Miami's elite attack and three straight head-to-head wins give them the edge at home. NYCFC's stronger defensive record should keep the match competitive, but Messi's production makes Miami the likelier winner.
Inter Miami are at home with strong motivation to secure a playoff spot, boast the league's most potent attack (46 goals, Messi with 13G/7A), and have won each of the last three head-to-heads including the 2025 playoff semi-final. NYCFC have a solid defense (24 GA in 18) but a middling overall record and poor Eastern Conference away form (6-9-6), making a narrow Miami victory the most likely outcome.
Inter Miami sit clear second in the East with superior attack (Messi-led) and have won the last three H2Hs including 2025 playoffs; NYCFC are solid defensively and mid-table but lack the same firepower away, making a home win the most likely while draws remain common in MLS.
Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last 7 competitive H2Hs vs NYCFC, boast Messi (23 goals) and Suárez (15 goals) in lethal form after a 4-0 dismantling of DC United, and host a depleted NYCFC side that has won just 1 of their last 10 and is missing 6+ players to injury. Miami's prolific attack should overwhelm a weakened New York defense, though NYCFC's Fernández Mercau (15 goals) gives them a chance to grab a consolation.
Inter Miami are at home, sit 12 points clear of NYCFC, and have won the last three head-to-heads including a playoff semi-final. However, Miami's defensive leakiness (36 conceded in 19) against a well-balanced NYCFC side (only 24 conceded) keeps the draw and away upset in play.
Inter MiamiNew York City FC